南苏丹的战争与教育,2013-2016

A. Mayai
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引用次数: 2

摘要

2013年12月中旬至2018年9月中旬,南苏丹陷入内战。近40万人死亡,数百万人流离失所。由于国家产出严重减少,导致通货膨胀飙升,经济几乎崩溃。虽然先前对南苏丹当前人道主义危机的研究主要集中在被迫流离失所和粮食不安全问题上,但关于战争对这一背景下人力资本积累的长期影响的信息很少。该分析利用暴力暴露的空间差异来估计最近内战对小学入学率的因果影响,作为衡量人力资本积累的代理。基于差异中的差异方法的结果表明,入学率与战争之间存在统计学上显著的关系。该研究表明,位于南苏丹战区的学校平均每年失去85名儿童,占总入学率的18.5%。女孩入学率的下降趋势与战争无关,这并不奇怪;社会障碍,包括性别家庭角色、早婚和非婚怀孕,长期以来阻碍了南苏丹女性的教育机会。这些效应对许多规格具有鲁棒性,包括保持恒定的学校级固定效应并根据标准误差进行调整。本文提出了对本地和国际教育和劳动力市场的重要政策含义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
War and Schooling in South Sudan, 2013-2016
South Sudan was embroiled in a civil war from mid-December 2013 to mid-September 2018. Nearly 400,000 people died, and several million were displaced. The economy nearly collapsed as the nation's output was severely reduced, causing inflation to soar. While prior research on the immediate humanitarian crisis in South Sudan has focused on forced displacement and food insecurity, there is little information available about the long-term impact the war had on human capital accumulation in this context. This analysis exploits spatial variation in exposure to violence to estimate the causal impact of the recent civil war on primary school enrollment as a proxy for measuring human capital accumulation. Results based on the difference-in-differences methodology indicate a statistically significant relationship between school enrollment and the war. The study shows that schools located in the South Sudanese war zones lost 85 children per year on average, or 18.5 percent of total enrollment. The diminishing trends in girls' enrollment are unrelated to the war, which is not surprising; social barriers, including gendered domestic roles, early marriage, and out-of-wedlock pregnancies, have long impeded female educational opportunities in South Sudan. These effects are robust to a number of specifications, including holding constant school-level fixed effects and adjusting for the standard errors. The article presents important policy implications for education and the labor market, both locally and internationally.
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