小企业破产预测模型的适用性研究

E. Kiseleva
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引用次数: 1

摘要

本文利用俄罗斯企业的会计报告日期,考察了现有的适用于小企业的破产预测模型的预测能力。将财务比率分析与破产预测模型的检验相结合,可以识别出具有较高预测能力的模型。研究也为中小企业提供了适用的模式。该研究基于大约100家小型企业的财务报表数据,将其分为两类:失败的企业和未失败的企业。这项研究的结果将对许多用户有用,如金融分析师、小企业董事会、贷款机构、审计人员、税务检查员。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Study of Applicability of Bankruptcy Prediction Models for Small Businesses
The paper investigates predictive ability of existing bankruptcy prediction models suitable for small business by using dates of accounting report of Russian’s firms. Combination of financial ratios analysis with bankruptcy prediction models’ testing made it possible to identify the models showing high predictive ability. Study also provides applicable model for small business. The study is based on financial statements data about one hundred enterprises of small businesses, divided two types: failed and non-failed firms. The results of the study would be useful to many users such as financial analysts, board of small enterprises, lenders, auditors, tax inspectors.
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