Probit和Logit分析:在不同浓度的生物农药绿僵菌菌株下,随时间的多次观察

T. Bhusal, M. Pokhrel, R. Thapa
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引用次数: 3

摘要

利用不同浓度的绿僵菌和绿僵菌LC71对家蚕幼虫(J12 × C12种)的杀伤数据,对回归线的拟合度进行了评价。应用probit和logit函数对不同时间间隔(hr)的金龟子效应进行了分析。在分析之前,使用比例杀死的概率和对数变换以及有和没有预测因子的对数变换对数据进行转换。分析表明,probit、logit、log-probit和log-logit的LC50值分别为5.969×106、6.000×106、7.250和7.235孢子mL-1。probit、logit、log-probit和log-logit的LT50值分别为204.247、204.381、2.304和2.305 hr。卡方值显著表明在所有函数下均需要异质性因子进行方差校正。与probit和logit模型相比,p值较高(≥0.587)的log-probit模型(浓度为2.826,时间为0.292)和log-logit模型(浓度为2.406,时间为0.440)的残差值较低。在我们的研究中,对数转换数据的p值较高(p>0.05),残差较小,表明当浓度和时间都作为预测因子时,log-probit和log-logit模型最适合家蚕幼虫的死亡率数据。结果表明,预测因子的对数变换最适合描述绿僵菌浓度对昆虫死亡率的影响。不同时间值下的各向异性。然而,在将这些分析推论具体应用于实践之前,它需要更精确的完整数据集和良好的样本值统计知识,以及将probit和logit分析的结果转换回原始单位。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Probit and Logit analysis: Multiple observations over time at various concentrations of biopesticide Metarhizium anisopliae strain
A study was done to assess the goodness of fit of the regression lines using the data of silkworm larvae (J12 x C12 race) killed by various concentrations of M. anisopliae and LC71 of Metarhizium. anisopliae at different time intervals (hr) applying probit and logit function. The data were transformed before analysis using probit and logit transformations of proportion kill and with and without a logarithmic transformation of predictors. Analysis showed that the LC50 value were 5.969×106, 6.000×106, 7.250 and 7.235 spores mL-1 for probit, logit, log-probit and log-logit, respectively. The LT50 values were 204.247, 204.381, 2.304 and 2.305 hr for probit, logit, log-probit and log-logit, respectively. Significant Chi-square value indicates the necessity of heterogeneity factor for correction of variances under all functions. Residual deviance values were lower at the log-probit (2.826 for concentration and 0.292 for time) and log-logit (2.406 for concentration and 0.440 for time) models with higher p-values (≥ 0.587) compared to probit and logit model. In our study, p-values was higher (p>0.05) with lower residual deviance in log transformed data which indicated that the log-probit and log-logit models could best fit to the mortality data of silkworm larvae when the both concentration and time were as predictors. Results indicated that the log-transformation of predictors would be best for describing the mortality values of insects by concentration of Metarhizium. anisopliae and under different time values. However, it requires more précised complete datasets and good knowledge of statistics of samples values along with the conversion of results of probit and logit analyses back to original units before coming into concrete application of these analytical inferences into practice.
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