信号理论研究:用盈利和流行病前消费品行业的现金流预测未来现金流

U. Khasanah, Nur Samsi, Choiri Choiri, Z. Zainab
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在确定哪一种现金流量和收益在研究期结束后的两年内具有更好的预测未来现金流量的能力。本研究采用目的性检验程序,对2016 - 2019年在印度尼西亚股票交易所上市的消费品行业进行了研究。(Dechow, Kothari, & Watts, 1997)发现收益比经营性现金流量本身更能预测未来现金流量。(Dahler & febrianto, 2007)利用许多直接复发模型进行的另一项研究发现,对于具有正收益和负收益的两类公司来说,当年的经营性现金流比利润预测未来的经营性现金流的能力更好。利用同样的模型,本研究得出的结论是,盈余比现金流量本身更能预测未来的现金流量。但是,现金流量仍然具有预测未来现金流量的重要能力。在扩展方面,这一考虑也成功地证明了利润具有预测未来现金流的增量能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
SIGNALLING THEORY STUDY: PREDICT FUTURE CASH FLOWS WITH EARNINGS AND CASHFLOWS IN CONSUMER GOODS INDUSTRIES BEFORE PANDEMIC ERA
This study aims to determine which of the cash flows and earnings have a better ability to predict future cash flows in the two years after the study period. This research was conducted on consumer goods industries listed on the Indonesia Stock Stock Trade in 2016 – 2019 employing a purposive examining procedure. (Dechow, Kothari, & Watts, 1997) found that earnings have a better ability to predict future cash flows than operating cash flows themselves. Another study conducted by (Dahler & febrianto, 2007) utilizing numerous straight relapse models found that operating cash streams for the current year have a better ability than profit in anticipating future working cash streams for both bunches of companies that have positive and negative benefits. Utilizing the same model, this study concludes that earnings have a better ability to predict future cash flows than cash flows themselves. However, cash flows still have a significant ability to predict future cash flows. In expansion, this consider too succeeded in demonstrating that profit has an incremental capacity to anticipate future cash streams.
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