体育和游戏中排名的统计特性

IF 0.7 4区 数学 Q4 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
José A. Morales, Jorge Flores, C. Gershenson, Carlos Pineda
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引用次数: 2

摘要

任何集合都可以排序。体育和游戏是排名系统的常见例子:玩家和团队经常使用不同的方法进行排名。排名的统计特性已经在各个领域进行了近一个世纪的研究。最近,数据可用性使我们能够研究排名动态:排名元素如何随时间变化。在这里,我们研究了来自不同运动和游戏的12个数据集的排名分布和排名动态。为了研究排名动态,我们考虑了我们之前定义的指标:排名多样性、变化概率、排名熵和排名复杂性。我们还引入了一个新措施,我们称之为“系统关闭”,它反映了有多少元素及时进入或离开排名。我们使用随机漫步模型来重现观察到的排名动态,表明一个简单的机制可以产生与数据集中观察到的相似的统计属性。我们的研究结果表明,虽然不同排名的排名分布差异很大,但排名动态具有相似的行为,独立于运动或游戏的性质和竞争力及其排名方法。我们的结果还表明,我们的等级动力学度量是通用的,适用于不同性质的复杂系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Statistical Properties of Rankings in Sports and Games
Any collection can be ranked. Sports and games are common examples of ranked systems: players and teams are constantly ranked using different methods. The statistical properties of rankings have been studied for almost a century in a variety of fields. More recently, data availability has allowed us to study rank dynamics: how elements of a ranking change in time. Here, we study the rank distributions and rank dynamics of 12 datasets from different sports and games. To study rank dynamics, we consider measures that we have defined previously: rank diversity, change probability, rank entropy, and rank complexity. We also introduce a new measure that we call “system closure” that reflects how many elements enter or leave the rankings in time. We use a random walk model to reproduce the observed rank dynamics, showing that a simple mechanism can generate similar statistical properties as the ones observed in the datasets. Our results show that while rank distributions vary considerably for different rankings, rank dynamics have similar behaviors, independently of the nature and competitiveness of the sport or game and its ranking method. Our results also suggest that our measures of rank dynamics are general and applicable for complex systems of different natures.
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来源期刊
Advances in Complex Systems
Advances in Complex Systems 综合性期刊-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
121
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Advances in Complex Systems aims to provide a unique medium of communication for multidisciplinary approaches, either empirical or theoretical, to the study of complex systems. The latter are seen as systems comprised of multiple interacting components, or agents. Nonlinear feedback processes, stochastic influences, specific conditions for the supply of energy, matter, or information may lead to the emergence of new system qualities on the macroscopic scale that cannot be reduced to the dynamics of the agents. Quantitative approaches to the dynamics of complex systems have to consider a broad range of concepts, from analytical tools, statistical methods and computer simulations to distributed problem solving, learning and adaptation. This is an interdisciplinary enterprise.
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