乌克兰生物甲烷生产前景

G. Geletukha, Yu. B. Matveev
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引用次数: 3

摘要

沼气升级为天然气(NG)的质量创造了向NG电网供应生物甲烷的可能性,便于在保证热能消耗的地方运输和生产电力和热能。生物甲烷作为天然气的类似物,可以用于热电生产,也可以作为汽车燃料和化学工业的原料。国际能源署(IEA)估计,全球每年的生物甲烷生产潜力为7300亿立方米(占目前全球天然气消费量的20%)。2019年,世界生物甲烷产量接近50亿立方米/年。根据欧洲沼气协会的预测,到2030年,沼气和生物甲烷行业的产量可能几乎翻一番。据国际能源署估计,如果实施可持续发展战略,到2040年,世界生物甲烷年产量将达到2000亿立方米。目前,乌克兰生物能源协会估计,乌克兰使用发酵技术生产沼气/生物甲烷的潜力为78亿立方米/年(占该国目前天然气消费量的25%)。乌克兰到2050年的生物能源发展路线图设想,到2035年,生物甲烷产量将增长到17亿立方米,到2050年将增长到30亿立方米。目前,绿色氢能的发展前景是众所周知的。作者支持将氢技术作为生产和使用可再生气体的一种方式。然而,他们认为生物甲烷的前景并不差。在60巴压力下通过天然气管道输送一立方米生物甲烷所传递的能量几乎是输送一立方米氢气的四倍。这是生物甲烷的基本优势。另一个优势是天然气基础设施为生物甲烷做好了充分准备。考虑到天然气基础设施现代化使用氢气的成本,将绿色氢气转化为合成甲烷更具成本效益。目前,生物甲烷平均比绿色氢便宜三倍,两种可再生气体的成本预计到2050年将持平,只有进一步将绿色氢的成本降低到每公斤2美元以下,才能使绿色氢比生物甲烷便宜。因此,结合可再生气体的优势和将绿色氢转化为合成甲烷(电力制气过程),可以看到最大的前景。作者认为,在乌克兰通过支持生物甲烷生产和使用发展的立法后,该国生产的大部分生物甲烷将出口到欧盟,欧盟为生物甲烷的消费创造了更有利的条件。随着乌克兰经济的增长,越来越多的生物甲烷将用于国内消费。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
PROSPECTS OF BIOMETHANE PRODUCTION IN UKRAINE
Biogas upgrading to quality of natural gas (NG) creates possibility to supply biomethane to the NG grid, easy transportation and production of electricity and heat in locations where there is guaranteed consumption of thermal energy. Biomethane as a close NG analogue can be used for heat and electricity production, as soon as motor fuel and raw material for chemical industry. The International Energy Agency (IEA) estimates that the world's annual biomethane production potential is 730 bcm (20% of current world's NG consumption). World biomethane production reached almost 5 bcm/yr in 2019. According to forecast of the European Biogas Association the biogas and biomethane sector may almost double its production by 2030. According to IEA estimates, annual world biomethane production could reach 200 bcm in 2040 in case the sustainable development strategy is implemented Currently, the Bioenergy Association of Ukraine estimates the potential for biogas/biomethane production in Ukraine using fermentation technology as 7,8 bcm/yr (25% of the country's current NG consumption). The roadmap of bioenergy development in Ukraine until 2050 envisages growth of biomethane production to 1,7 bcm in 2035 and up to 3 bcm in 2050. Currently the prospects for green hydrogen development are well known. The authors support the need of hydrogen technologies as one of the way for production and use of renewable gases. However, they believe that biomethane has no less prospects. Transporting of one cubic meter of biomethane through gas pipeline at 60 bar pressure transmits almost four times more energy than transporting of one cubic meter of hydrogen. This is fundamental advantage of biomethane. Another advantage is the full readiness of gas infrastructure for biomethane. Given the cost of gas infrastructure modernization to use hydrogen, it is more cost-effective to convert green hydrogen to synthetic methane. Currently, biomethane is in average three times cheaper than green hydrogen, the cost of the two renewable gases is expected to equalize by 2050, and only further possible reduction in the cost of green hydrogen below $2/kg will make green hydrogen cheaper than biomethane. Therefore, the greatest prospects can be seen in the combination of the advantages of both renewable gases and conversion of green hydrogen into synthetic methane (power-to-gas process). Authors believe that after adoption of legislation to support the development of biomethane production and use in Ukraine, the bulk of biomethane produced in the country will be exported to EU, where more favourable conditions for biomethane consumption are developed. As Ukraine's economy grows, more and more of the biomethane produced will be used for domestic consumption.
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