基于负荷预测的戈伦塔洛电力蒸汽发电厂发电机可靠性指标计算

Irna Tri Yuniahastuti, Tedy Ardiansyah
{"title":"基于负荷预测的戈伦塔洛电力蒸汽发电厂发电机可靠性指标计算","authors":"Irna Tri Yuniahastuti, Tedy Ardiansyah","doi":"10.46565/jreas.202274430-435","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The calculation of the reliability at the PLTU Anggrek 2×25 MW Gorontalo obtained a LOLP value of 61.5 days/year. This value was still above the standardreliability value of PLN, this was due to the occurrence of PO (Planned Outage) and MO (Maintenance Outage) in unit 2 in June-July 2021, namely in theform of the first-year inspection in July. The FOR (Force Outage Rate) value was calculated based on the disturbance data from the generator in 2021. Thedaily load value was obtained from the load forecast value in January-July using FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) Mamdani type using the Matlab Toolbox. Theerror value in the proposed load forecast was 8%. The rules that had been compiled were used to predict expenses in August-December 2021. From the resultsof forecasting From the results of forecasting expenses, it was found that the trend of expenses was increasing every month.left with 10-pt Times New Roman bold. The abstract must be contained in one paragraph.","PeriodicalId":14343,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Research in Engineering and Applied Sciences","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"CALCULATION OF GENERATOR REABILITY INDEX WITH LOAD FORECASTING AT PLTU (ELECTRIC STEAM POWER PLANT) ANGGREK IN GORONTALO\",\"authors\":\"Irna Tri Yuniahastuti, Tedy Ardiansyah\",\"doi\":\"10.46565/jreas.202274430-435\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The calculation of the reliability at the PLTU Anggrek 2×25 MW Gorontalo obtained a LOLP value of 61.5 days/year. This value was still above the standardreliability value of PLN, this was due to the occurrence of PO (Planned Outage) and MO (Maintenance Outage) in unit 2 in June-July 2021, namely in theform of the first-year inspection in July. The FOR (Force Outage Rate) value was calculated based on the disturbance data from the generator in 2021. Thedaily load value was obtained from the load forecast value in January-July using FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) Mamdani type using the Matlab Toolbox. Theerror value in the proposed load forecast was 8%. The rules that had been compiled were used to predict expenses in August-December 2021. From the resultsof forecasting From the results of forecasting expenses, it was found that the trend of expenses was increasing every month.left with 10-pt Times New Roman bold. The abstract must be contained in one paragraph.\",\"PeriodicalId\":14343,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Research in Engineering and Applied Sciences\",\"volume\":\"29 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-03-14\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Research in Engineering and Applied Sciences\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.46565/jreas.202274430-435\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Research in Engineering and Applied Sciences","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.46565/jreas.202274430-435","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

在PLTU Anggrek 2×25 MW Gorontalo进行可靠性计算,得到的LOLP值为61.5天/年。该值仍然高于PLN的标准可靠性值,这是由于2号机组在2021年6 - 7月发生了PO (Planned停用)和MO (Maintenance停用),即以7月的第一年检查的形式出现。FOR(停电率)值是根据2021年发电机的干扰数据计算的。利用Matlab工具箱,利用FIS(模糊推理系统)Mamdani型对1 - 7月负荷预测值进行日负荷计算。提出的负荷预测误差值为8%。编制的规则用于预测2021年8月至12月的费用。从预测结果来看,从预测费用的结果来看,费用的趋势是每月增加。左边用10倍新罗马字体加粗。摘要必须包含在一个段落中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CALCULATION OF GENERATOR REABILITY INDEX WITH LOAD FORECASTING AT PLTU (ELECTRIC STEAM POWER PLANT) ANGGREK IN GORONTALO
The calculation of the reliability at the PLTU Anggrek 2×25 MW Gorontalo obtained a LOLP value of 61.5 days/year. This value was still above the standardreliability value of PLN, this was due to the occurrence of PO (Planned Outage) and MO (Maintenance Outage) in unit 2 in June-July 2021, namely in theform of the first-year inspection in July. The FOR (Force Outage Rate) value was calculated based on the disturbance data from the generator in 2021. Thedaily load value was obtained from the load forecast value in January-July using FIS (Fuzzy Inference System) Mamdani type using the Matlab Toolbox. Theerror value in the proposed load forecast was 8%. The rules that had been compiled were used to predict expenses in August-December 2021. From the resultsof forecasting From the results of forecasting expenses, it was found that the trend of expenses was increasing every month.left with 10-pt Times New Roman bold. The abstract must be contained in one paragraph.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信