欧洲绿色协定对欧盟和匈牙利作物生产的潜在影响

Levente Szabo, Hajnalka Madai, A. Nábrádi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

欧洲的耕地农业,包括匈牙利的耕地农业,面临着一个巨大的困境:如何在维持生物多样性的同时减少温室气体排放,为维持全球粮食供应做出贡献,同时减少对社会和环境有潜在危害的投入,同时确保不再有土地退出生产?更不用说日益紧迫的应对气候变化的需求也给欧盟农业决策者提出了额外的要求。根据《欧洲绿色协议》(GD),“从农场到餐桌”(F2F)战略将有助于到2050年实现气候中和,目标是到2030年将温室气体排放量减少55%。实现这一目标将需要粮食生产方面的重大变革、作物健康战略的转变和农业部门加速创新。这项研究解决了这些问题。我们的第一个假设(A1)是GD和F2F策略可以在没有问题和损失的情况下实施。我们的第二个假设(A2)是,精准农业的技术解决方案和技术条件已经存在,所有这些都证明了A1的可行性。为了证明这一点,我们回顾了最近和最新的关于DG和F2F的文献。对于A1,我们发现文献中有正反两方面的发现。然而,总结结果并不乐观。根据数据计算得出的研究结论是,欧盟农业如果要维持产量并减少环境压力,将面临巨大的额外成本。他们的计算表明,更多的人将因这些决定而处于不利地位,公众可能会损失数百万欧元。然而,这篇文章也表明,在许多情况下,即使减少化学品的使用,也可以取得积极的结果。来自国际和匈牙利的技术和专有技术解决方案及其在工厂一级的试验的事实和数据表明,总干事的目标已经部分实现。已经确定,系统地使用精密技术可以提高自然效率,同时也可以提高经济效率。在我们的工作中,我们使用了初级研究和最近二级研究的结果。我们已经说明了经济增长的缺点,但也说明了有针对性的支持,可持续发展和经济增长的目标是可以实现的。2022年的变化,包括化肥和农药在内的投入物价格大幅上涨,通货膨胀率达到20年来的最高水平,能源价格失控,以及影响作物生产和园艺的几乎前所未有的干旱,都表明有必要在技术、思维和监管方面进行彻底变革。所有这一切都是为了确保匈牙利有足够的负担得起的食物,在欧共体内外都有出口产品,并确保从事农业工作的人过上体面的生活。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Potential impact of the European Green Agreement on EU and Hungarian crop production
European arable farming, including Hungarian arable farming, faces a huge dilemma: how to contribute to and maintain the global food supply while reducing greenhouse gas emissions while main taining biodiversity, but reducing inputs that are potentially damaging to society and the environment while ensuring that no more land is taken out of production? Not to mention that the increasingly urgent need to tackle climate change is also placing additional demands on EU agricultural decision-makers. Under the European Green Deal (GD), the 'From Farm to Fork' (F2F) strategy will help achieve climate neutrality by 2050, with a target of a 55% reduction in greenhouse gas emissions by 2030. Achieving this will require significant changes in food production, a shift in crop health strategies and accelerated innovation in the agricultural sector. The study addresses these issues. Our first hypothesis (A1) is that the GD and F2F strategies can be implemented without problems and without losses. Our second assumption (A2) is that the know-how solutions and the technological conditions for precision agriculture that are already available exist, and that all of these already justify the feasibility of A1. In order to prove this, we have reviewed recent and up-to-date literature on DG and F2F. For A1, we found that there are pro and con findings in the literature. However, the summary finding is not positive. The conclusion of the studies, based on data calculations, is that EU agriculture faces huge additional costs if it is to maintain production and reduce environmental pressures. Their calculations suggest that more people will be disadvantaged by the decisions, and that millions of euros could be lost to the public. However, the article also shows that there are many cases where positive results can be achieved even with reduced chemical use. Facts and figures from international and Hungarian technological and know-how solutions and their trials at plant level show that the DG's objectives are already partially achievable. It has been established that the systematic use of precision technologies allows to increase the natural and at the same time the economic efficiency. In our work we have used the results of primary and recent secondary research. We have shown the downsides of GD, but also that with targeted support, the objectives of sustainability and GD can be approached. Changes in 2022, drastic price increases for inputs including fertilizers and pesticides, inflation at a 20-year high, energy prices spiraling out of control, and an almost unprecedented drought affecting crop production and horticulture, point to the need for a radical change in technology, thinking and regulation. And all this to ensure that there is enough affordable food in Hungary, that there are export products within and outside the Community, and that those working in agriculture have a decent living.
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