{"title":"电力需求的长期动态:来自城市聚集的证据","authors":"T. Deryugina, Alexander Mackay, J. Reif","doi":"10.2139/ssrn.3274708","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We study the dynamics of residential electricity demand by exploiting a natural experiment that produced large and long-lasting price changes in over 250 Illinois communities. Using a flexible difference-in-difference matching approach, we estimate that the price elasticity of demand grows from − 0.09 in the first six months to − 0.27 two years later. We find similar results with a dynamic model in which usage is a function of past and future prices. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for consumption dynamics when evaluating energy policy. (JEL L94, L98, Q41, Q48)","PeriodicalId":100779,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Energy Finance & Development","volume":"18 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2017-06-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"87","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence From Municipal Aggregation\",\"authors\":\"T. Deryugina, Alexander Mackay, J. Reif\",\"doi\":\"10.2139/ssrn.3274708\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We study the dynamics of residential electricity demand by exploiting a natural experiment that produced large and long-lasting price changes in over 250 Illinois communities. Using a flexible difference-in-difference matching approach, we estimate that the price elasticity of demand grows from − 0.09 in the first six months to − 0.27 two years later. We find similar results with a dynamic model in which usage is a function of past and future prices. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for consumption dynamics when evaluating energy policy. (JEL L94, L98, Q41, Q48)\",\"PeriodicalId\":100779,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Energy Finance & Development\",\"volume\":\"18 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-06-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"87\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Energy Finance & Development\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3274708\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Energy Finance & Development","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3274708","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
The Long-Run Dynamics of Electricity Demand: Evidence From Municipal Aggregation
We study the dynamics of residential electricity demand by exploiting a natural experiment that produced large and long-lasting price changes in over 250 Illinois communities. Using a flexible difference-in-difference matching approach, we estimate that the price elasticity of demand grows from − 0.09 in the first six months to − 0.27 two years later. We find similar results with a dynamic model in which usage is a function of past and future prices. Our findings highlight the importance of accounting for consumption dynamics when evaluating energy policy. (JEL L94, L98, Q41, Q48)