全球和欧洲气候政策

IF 0.9 Q4 AGRICULTURAL ECONOMICS & POLICY
Konrad Prandecki
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引用次数: 0

摘要

2022年是《联合国气候变化框架公约》通过30周年。这段时间足够用来评估这项政策的有效性。本文的目的是确定迄今为止气候政策的成就,以及减少温室气体排放的进一步行动的最有可能的方向。特别注意农业排放,这是由于农业在全球排放中所占的很大份额和排放的具体结构,即该部门在甲烷和一氧化二氮排放方面的重要作用造成的。本文采用基于世界银行数据的统计分析方法。此外,还对气候政策文献进行了批判性分析。结果表明,目前的政策并没有达到预期的效果。然而,也有一些例子(如欧盟),温室气体排放的减少是显而易见的。因此,社区排放在全球排放中所占的份额趋于减少。这适用于总排放量和农业排放量,即甲烷和一氧化二氮。根据目前的数据和全球趋势,目前的变化方向似乎很可能会继续下去,即全球范围内对气候的关注不足,以及在世界某些地区增加排放限制。然而,这种解决方案将是无效的,因为气候变化是一个全球性问题,必须在全球范围内解决。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Global and European Climate Policy
Abstract In 2022, thirty years have passed since the adoption of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. This period is long enough to evaluate the effectiveness of this policy. The aim of this paper is to determine the achievements of climate policy so far and the most likely directions for further actions to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Particular attention was paid to agricultural emissions, which results from the significant share of agriculture in global emissions and the specific structure of emissions, i.e., the significant role of the sector in methane and nitrous oxide emissions. The paper uses statistical analysis based on the World Bank data. It was supplemented by a critical analysis of the literature on climate policy. The presented results show that the current policy does not bring the expected results. There are, however, some examples (the European Union), where the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions is visible. As a result, the share of Community emissions in global emissions tends to decrease. This applies to both total and agricultural emissions, i.e., methane and nitrous oxide. Based on the presented data and global trends, it seems most likely that the current direction of changes will be continued, i.e., poor care for climate on a global scale and increasing emission restrictions in selected regions of the world. Nevertheless, this solution will be ineffective, since climate change is a global problem and must be solved globally.
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