居家:COVID-19对流动性的影响

S. Engle, John Stromme, Anson Zhou
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引用次数: 306

摘要

我们将关于县级个人平均出行距离变化的GPS数据与COVID-19病例数据和其他人口统计信息相结合,以估计个人流动性如何受到当地疾病流行和居家限制令的影响。我们发现,局部感染率从0%上升到0.003%,与行动能力下降2.31%相关。一项官方的居家限制令相当于减少了7.87%的流动性。65岁以上人口比例较大、2016年总统选举中共和党得票率较低、人口密度较高的县,对疾病流行和限制令的反应更敏感。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Staying at Home: Mobility Effects of COVID-19
We combine GPS data on changes in average distance traveled by individuals at the county level with COVID-19 case data and other demographic information to estimate how individual mobility is affected by local disease prevalence and restriction orders to stay-at-home. We find that a rise of local infection rate from 0% to 0.003% is associated with a reduction in mobility by 2.31%. An official stay-at-home restriction order corresponds to reducing mobility by 7.87%. Counties with larger shares of population over age 65, lower share of votes for the Republican Party in the 2016 Presidential Election, and higher population density are more responsive to disease prevalence and restriction orders.
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