R. Arisanti, Efrilla Rita Utami, A. Muslim, Ma’rufah Hayati
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究的目的是分析2020年新冠肺炎大流行开始时东爪哇经济增长与电子商务的同步空间关系以及两者之间的溢出效应。为满足研究目标,采用空间自回归广义空间三维模型(spatial Autoregressive Generalized spatial Three Model)进行空间同步建模。阶段最小二乘法(SAR-GS3SLS)使用车的连续性。基于SAR-GS3SLS的结果,可以得出结论,在2020年新冠肺炎大流行开始时,东爪哇的经济增长和电子商务在空间上同时相互关联。影响东爪哇经济增长的变量是电子商务活动、拥有基站(BTS)的村庄数量和经济增长的空间滞后(ρ1),而开放失业率(TPT)和基尼系数对经济增长没有显著影响。经济。影响电子商务的变量有经济增长、网上银行用户、拥有手机的人口比例、千禧一代数量、拥有atm的村庄数量和电子商务的空间滞后(ρ2),而拥有4G/LTE信号的村庄数量对电子商务没有影响。商业。在东爪哇,经济增长和电子商务的外溢性最高的城市是玛琅、莫约克托和麦迪恩。这三个地区能够提供积极的净溢出效应。
The relationship between economic growth and e-commerce at the beginning of covid-19 pandemic in east Java
The purpose of this study is to analyse the simultaneous spatial relationship between economic growth and e-commerce as well as the spillover effect between the two variables in East Java at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020. To answer the research objectives, spatial simultaneous modeling is used with the Spatial Autoregressive Generalized Spatial Three Model. Stage Least Square (SAR-GS3SLS) using rook contiguity. Based on the results of the SAR-GS3SLS, it can be concluded that at the beginning of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020 in East Java, economic growth and e-commerce were simultaneously spatially interconnected. Variables that affect East Java's economic growth are e-commerce activities, the number of villages that have Base Transceiver Stations (BTS) and the spatial lag of economic growth (ρ1) while the open unemployment rate (TPT) and the Gini ratio have no significant effect on growth. economy. Variables that affect e-commerce are economic growth, internet banking users, percentage of population who have cellphones, number of millennials, number of villages that have ATMs and spatial lag of e-commerce (ρ2) while the number of villages with 4G/LTE signals has no effect on e-commerce. commerce. Regencies/cities that provide the highest spillover of economic growth and e-commerce in East Java are Malang, Mojokerto and Madiun Regencies. The three districts were able to provide a positive net spillover.