在印度尼西亚设立财政委员会的可行性研究

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
H. Kuncoro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在本文中,我们讨论了2001- 2016年期间印度尼西亚财政政策可信度的定量测量。这份初步文件的重点是实际预算结余与前几年关于这些结余的预测的偏差。我们的目标是从这些数据中提取对政府财政政策可信度的洞察。我们发现,政府实施的财政政策不被认为是可信的。政府制定的目标往往无法实现,而且通常是负面的分歧。收入和支出被高估,导致赤字偏见和政府债务不断增加。这些结果表明,建立具有独立权力的财政委员会来实施可信的财政政策,以保持财政的长期可持续性是可行的。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A feasibility study of establishing fiscal council in Indonesia
In this paper we address the quantitative measurement of credibility in fiscal policy in the case of Indonesia over the period 2001-201 6. This preliminary paper focuses on the deviations of the actual budget balances from the projections about these balances in the preceding years. The objective is to extract from these data insights into the credibility of the government fiscal policies. We found that fiscal policy as conducted by government is not perceived as credible. The targets set forward by government are often not met and usually the divergence is on the negative side. Revenue and spending are overestimated, leading to a deficit bias and growing indebtedness of government. Those results suggest feasibility to establish the fiscal council with independent powers to conduct the credible fiscal policy in order to maintain fiscal sustainability in the long-term.
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来源期刊
自引率
20.00%
发文量
21
审稿时长
12 weeks
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