关于卖空禁令,学术研究怎么说?

Stefano Alderighi, Pedro Gurrola-Perez
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摘要

2020年3月,为应对全球COVID-19大流行导致的市场波动加剧,一些金融监管机构对股票市场实施了卖空禁令。他们的论点是,卖空加剧了价格的下行走势,从而导致波动性加剧、市场信心下降。本文回顾了有关卖空和卖空禁令的学术文献,比较了反对卖空和赞成卖空的观点。我们发现,几乎一致的证据表明,卖空禁令对市场的有序运作具有破坏性,因为它们被发现会降低流动性,增加价格效率低下,并阻碍价格发现。此外,卖空禁令还会对其他市场(如期权市场)产生负面溢出效应。根据文献,在价格下跌和波动性加剧的时期,卖空者的行为与其他交易者没有什么不同,对价格下跌的贡献小于常规的“多头”卖家。研究表明,卖空禁令对小型股票数量相对较多、分散程度较低、卖空选择较少的市场更为有害,新兴市场应特别警惕卖空禁令。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
What Does Academic Research Say about Short-Selling Bans?
As a reaction to higher market volatility due to the global COVID-19 pandemic, in March 2020 some financial regulators imposed short-selling bans on equity markets. Their argument is that short-selling exacerbates downward price movements, thus being responsible for heightened volatility and reduced market confidence. This paper reviews the academic literature on short-selling and short-selling bans, comparing the arguments against banning short-selling with the arguments in favour. We find that the evidence almost unanimously points towards short-selling bans being disruptive for the orderly functioning of markets, as they are found to reduce liquidity, increase price inefficiency and hamper price discovery. In addition, short-selling bans are found to have negative spillover effects on other markets, for example option markets. According to the literature, during periods of price decline and heightened volatility, short-sellers do not behave differently from any other traders, and contribute less to price declines than regular ‘long’ sellers. As research has shown that short-selling bans are more deleterious to markets characterized by a relatively high amount of small stocks, low levels of fragmentation, and fewer alternatives to short-selling, emerging markets should be particularly wary of bans on short-selling.
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