{"title":"人口扰动及其对中国高等教育发展的影响","authors":"Jie Xie","doi":"10.1109/ICEEE.2010.5661609","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The decreasing birth rate and the rising popularity of overseas studies have combined to drag the number of candidates for college entrance exam. Besides these two reasons, the disturbance of population happened 51 years ago may cause the decrease in number of college entrance exam candidates in the future.We constructed a nonlinear regression model to analyze the impact of disturbance of population on the scale of higher education.According to our nonlinear regression model analysis,the gross enrollment rate of higher education should reach 55％ by the year 2020, and average annual increase rate of China gross college enrollment number is about 3%.Then the popularization of higher education will be realized by the year 2020,and the lack source of students could be released.","PeriodicalId":6302,"journal":{"name":"2010 International Conference on E-Product E-Service and E-Entertainment","volume":"15 11 1","pages":"1-4"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2010-12-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Disturbance of Population & It's Impact on China Higher Education Development\",\"authors\":\"Jie Xie\",\"doi\":\"10.1109/ICEEE.2010.5661609\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The decreasing birth rate and the rising popularity of overseas studies have combined to drag the number of candidates for college entrance exam. Besides these two reasons, the disturbance of population happened 51 years ago may cause the decrease in number of college entrance exam candidates in the future.We constructed a nonlinear regression model to analyze the impact of disturbance of population on the scale of higher education.According to our nonlinear regression model analysis,the gross enrollment rate of higher education should reach 55％ by the year 2020, and average annual increase rate of China gross college enrollment number is about 3%.Then the popularization of higher education will be realized by the year 2020,and the lack source of students could be released.\",\"PeriodicalId\":6302,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"2010 International Conference on E-Product E-Service and E-Entertainment\",\"volume\":\"15 11 1\",\"pages\":\"1-4\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2010-12-10\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"2010 International Conference on E-Product E-Service and E-Entertainment\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICEEE.2010.5661609\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"2010 International Conference on E-Product E-Service and E-Entertainment","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1109/ICEEE.2010.5661609","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Disturbance of Population & It's Impact on China Higher Education Development
The decreasing birth rate and the rising popularity of overseas studies have combined to drag the number of candidates for college entrance exam. Besides these two reasons, the disturbance of population happened 51 years ago may cause the decrease in number of college entrance exam candidates in the future.We constructed a nonlinear regression model to analyze the impact of disturbance of population on the scale of higher education.According to our nonlinear regression model analysis,the gross enrollment rate of higher education should reach 55％ by the year 2020, and average annual increase rate of China gross college enrollment number is about 3%.Then the popularization of higher education will be realized by the year 2020,and the lack source of students could be released.
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