{"title":"用系统动力学方法分析沿海航运业扶持政策的效果","authors":"Sung-Jin Park, Hoo-Seok Pai, Yong-John Shin","doi":"10.5394/KINPR.2016.40.5.345","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":": This study presents a system dynamics methodology to evaluate quantitatively the effect ofthe Korean government’s developmentpolicy, suchastaxreductions, onthe industrialeconomy.Systemdynamicsisoftenperceivedasanoptimizedmeansto identifythedynamicinter-relationshipsamongvariousfactorsofdevelopmentpolicies,andinparticulartheindustrialcharacteristicsand uncertaintiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Theresultsofsimulationsusedinthisstudyshowsthattheimpactofdevelopmentpolicies suchastaxreductionswould increase shipping demand for about4years, andthattaxincentivescould raise the demandvolume for cabotagecargofrom5.26to11.11%,throughtheavailablefreight-downby90∼95%points.Thesystemdynamicsapproachusedinthis paperrepresentsaninitialattempttousethismethodologyinstudiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Onthebasisof oursimulations, theindustrialeffectsofotherdevelopmentpolicies,suchasshipfinancingsupport,investmentofsocialoverhead,orcrewsupply,could alsobeanalyzedeffectively.Additionally,itshouldbepossibletoextendtheseresultsbydevelopingacomprehensivemodelencompassing thesevariousanalyses.","PeriodicalId":16242,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Korean navigation and port research","volume":"281 6 1","pages":"345-351"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2016-10-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A System Dynamics Approach to Analyze the Effect of a Fostering Policy on the Coastal Shipping Industry\",\"authors\":\"Sung-Jin Park, Hoo-Seok Pai, Yong-John Shin\",\"doi\":\"10.5394/KINPR.2016.40.5.345\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\": This study presents a system dynamics methodology to evaluate quantitatively the effect ofthe Korean government’s developmentpolicy, suchastaxreductions, onthe industrialeconomy.Systemdynamicsisoftenperceivedasanoptimizedmeansto identifythedynamicinter-relationshipsamongvariousfactorsofdevelopmentpolicies,andinparticulartheindustrialcharacteristicsand uncertaintiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Theresultsofsimulationsusedinthisstudyshowsthattheimpactofdevelopmentpolicies suchastaxreductionswould increase shipping demand for about4years, andthattaxincentivescould raise the demandvolume for cabotagecargofrom5.26to11.11%,throughtheavailablefreight-downby90∼95%points.Thesystemdynamicsapproachusedinthis paperrepresentsaninitialattempttousethismethodologyinstudiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Onthebasisof oursimulations, theindustrialeffectsofotherdevelopmentpolicies,suchasshipfinancingsupport,investmentofsocialoverhead,orcrewsupply,could alsobeanalyzedeffectively.Additionally,itshouldbepossibletoextendtheseresultsbydevelopingacomprehensivemodelencompassing thesevariousanalyses.\",\"PeriodicalId\":16242,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Korean navigation and port research\",\"volume\":\"281 6 1\",\"pages\":\"345-351\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2016-10-31\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Korean navigation and port research\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2016.40.5.345\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Korean navigation and port research","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.5394/KINPR.2016.40.5.345","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
A System Dynamics Approach to Analyze the Effect of a Fostering Policy on the Coastal Shipping Industry
: This study presents a system dynamics methodology to evaluate quantitatively the effect ofthe Korean government’s developmentpolicy, suchastaxreductions, onthe industrialeconomy.Systemdynamicsisoftenperceivedasanoptimizedmeansto identifythedynamicinter-relationshipsamongvariousfactorsofdevelopmentpolicies,andinparticulartheindustrialcharacteristicsand uncertaintiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Theresultsofsimulationsusedinthisstudyshowsthattheimpactofdevelopmentpolicies suchastaxreductionswould increase shipping demand for about4years, andthattaxincentivescould raise the demandvolume for cabotagecargofrom5.26to11.11%,throughtheavailablefreight-downby90∼95%points.Thesystemdynamicsapproachusedinthis paperrepresentsaninitialattempttousethismethodologyinstudiesofthecoastalshippingindustry.Onthebasisof oursimulations, theindustrialeffectsofotherdevelopmentpolicies,suchasshipfinancingsupport,investmentofsocialoverhead,orcrewsupply,could alsobeanalyzedeffectively.Additionally,itshouldbepossibletoextendtheseresultsbydevelopingacomprehensivemodelencompassing thesevariousanalyses.
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