GM(1,1)的优化灰色导数

Bo LI, Yong WEI
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引用次数: 22

摘要

本文从GM(1,1)灰色导数的产生出发,从理论上论证了采用前向差商和后向差商加权平均作为GM(1,1)灰色导数白化值的合理性。给出了加权系数的具体表示形式,建立了新的GM(1,1)模型。从理论上证明了新模型具有白指数符合律,并提出了一种求解新模型参数的新方法。实例的仿真和预测表明了该模型和方法的实用性和有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Optimized Grey Derivative of GM (1, 1)

From the production of GM (1,1) grey derivative, this article arguments logically the rationality of using weighted average of forward difference quotient and backward difference quotient as GM(1,1) grey derivative whitenization value in the theories. It gives the concrete expression type of weighted coefficient and builds up a new GM(1,1) model. It proves that the new model has the white exponential coincidence law in theory and puts forward a new method to solve parameters of the new model. Simulation and prediction of practice examples show that this model and method are useful and effective.

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