使用人工神经网络方法的时间序列预测:系统回顾

Ahmed Tealab
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引用次数: 279

摘要

本文对人工神经网络方法在时间序列预测模型中的研究进展进行了系统的综述。通过人工检索过去11年(2006-2016年)发表的论文,对使用新的神经网络模型进行时间序列预测进行了系统回顾,并显示了使用的方法。在研究的覆盖期内,获得的结果发现17项研究符合检索标准的所有要求。得到的建议中只有三个考虑了与神经网络模型的自回归不同的过程。这些结果表明,虽然有许多研究提出了神经网络模型的应用,但很少有研究提出新的神经网络预测模型,考虑理论支持和模型构建的系统过程。这导致了制定新的神经网络模型的重要性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Time series forecasting using artificial neural networks methodologies: A systematic review

This paper studies the advances in time series forecasting models using artificial neural network methodologies in a systematic literature review. The systematic review has been done using a manual search of the published papers in the last 11 years (2006–2016) for the time series forecasting using new neural network models and the used methods are displayed. In the covered period in the study, the results obtained found 17 studies that meet all the requirements of the search criteria. Only three of the obtained proposals considered a process different to the autoregressive of a neural networks model. These results conclude that, although there are many studies that presented the application of neural network models, but few of them proposed new neural networks models for forecasting that considered theoretical support and a systematic procedure in the construction of model. This leads to the importance of formulating new models of neural networks.

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