野火应对:一个处于边缘的系统?

Matthew P. Thompson, Erin J. Belval, J. Bayham, D. Calkin, Crystal Stonesifer, David Flores
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摘要

野火活动的增加、劳动力能力的下降和系统压力的增加可能导致机构间野火响应系统保护景观和社区的能力下降。此外,工作量的增加可能会增加解雇人员的危险,并扩大征聘和留用方面的现有问题。面对风险的增加和能力的下降,必须使野火反应系统有效运作。迫切需要可行的解决方案,使该系统能够以更少的资源做更多的事情,不仅要管理景观和社区,还要管理系统所依赖的消防人员的健康和福祉。要实现这一目标,可能需要重新思考如何通过加强后勤、操作和经过验证的火灾分析,使跨部门野火响应系统更具适应性和智能地部署消防人员。研究意义:随着社会努力应对日益严重的野火对景观和社区的破坏,美国旨在保护景观和社区免受野火影响的机构间系统的能力正在下降。压力过大的系统将无法保护生命、财产和资源,增加的工作量可能会增加对解雇人员的危害,并扩大现有的招聘和保留问题。我们认为,解决方案可以通过增加对性能的关注,以及通过在火灾事件和全国范围内更有预见性、适应性和智能地部署消防人员来实现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Wildfire Response: A System on the Brink?
Increasing wildfire activity, decreasing workforce capacity, and growing systemic strain may result in an interagency wildfire-response system less capable of protecting landscapes and communities. Further, increased workloads will likely increase hazards to fire personnel and amplify existing problems with recruitment and retention. In the face of elevated risks and degraded capacity, it is imperative that the wildfire-response system operate efficiently. Viable solutions are urgently needed that enable the system to do more with less and that manage not only for landscapes and communities but also the health and wellbeing of the fire personnel on whom the system relies. Achieving this will likely require rethinking how the interagency wildfire-response system can more adaptively and intelligently deploy fire personnel by leveraging enhanced logistics, operations, and proven fire analytics. Study Implications: As society grapples with increasing wildfire damage to landscapes and communities, the capacity of the interagency system in the USA designed to protect landscapes and communities from wildfires is degrading. A stressed system will be less capable of protecting life, property, and resources, and increased workloads will likely increase hazards to fire personnel and amplify existing problems with recruitment and retention. We argue that solutions are attainable through increased attention to performance and through more anticipatory, adaptive, and intelligent deployment of fire personnel across fire incidents and around the country.
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