确保投资组合稳定性:一个新兴的混乱案例(以乌克兰农业控股为例)

Z. Sokolovska, O. Klepikova, Semenov Anatoly
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是以乌克兰农业控股为例研究大公司的投资活动。证明了研究对象属于具有混沌行为的复杂耗散经济系统。研究了保证公司投资组合平衡的条件和措施。提出了混沌理论的介入作为研究的数学基础。提出了农业控股投资活动动态的微分方程组模型,并利用MatLab软件平台进行了实现。根据不同的管理参数值,对投资过程的动态进行了数值模拟。预测了系统在奇异洛伦兹吸引子出现时向混沌运动模式过渡的情景。为保证农业控股生产与物流子系统的可持续比例发展和投资组合的形成,提出了该模型的实验场景。基于进化方程的行为诊断系统模型旨在提高农业控股可持续发展的纠正性投资决策效率。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Portfolio stability ensuring: an emerging chaos case (on the example of Ukrainian agroholdings)
The purpose of this article is the study of large companies' investment activities on the example of agricultural holdings in Ukraine. The belonging of the studied ob-jects to the complex dissipative economic systems with the emerging chaotic be-haviour is proved. The conditions and measures of ensuring the balance of the company's investment portfolio are studied. The involvement of chaos theory is proposed as a mathematical basis of the studies. The proposed model of agro-holding investment activity dynamics is presented by the system of differential equations and realized using the MatLab software platform. Numerical modelling of the investment processes dynamics in accordance with different values of management parameters is carried out. Transition scenarios of the system to a chaotic motion mode with the emergence of a strange Lorentz attractor are fore-cast. Scenarios of experiments on the model in order to ensure sustainable propor-tional development of production and logistics subsystems of the agricultural hold-ing and the formation of its investment portfolio are proposed. The behaviour di-agnostics system model on the basis of evolutionary equations is aimed at increas-ing the efficiency of making corrective investment decisions for the sustainable development of the agricultural holding.
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CiteScore
1.30
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