关于在通胀预期调查问题中加入锚定数字的影响的说明

Monique Reid, Hanjo Odendaal, S. Du Plessis, P. Siklos
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引用次数: 3

摘要

通胀预期调查正受到越来越多的关注。没有最佳的方法,而且对个别调查的关键特征的讨论往往有限。我们使用南非的数据集来论证调查设计应该给予更多的关注,因为它可能会破坏我们自信地使用数据的能力。调查数据的使用者需要了解调查设计中存在的差异,以及调查数据在多大程度上反映了不确定性下的决策捷径,而不是公众对预期通胀的真实看法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Note on the Impact of the Inclusion of an Anchor Number in the Inflation Expectations Survey Question
Inflation expectations surveys are receiving increasing attention. There is no optimal approach and often limited discussion of key characteristics of individual surveys. We use a South African dataset to argue that survey design should be given far more attention as it may undermine our ability to use the data with confidence. Users of survey data need to understand existing differences in survey design and the extent to which survey data reflect decision-making shortcuts under uncertainty as opposed to a true belief about what the public more generally really thinks expected inflation will be.
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