能源市场波动的最新研究

IF 0.7 Q3 ECONOMICS
Octavian Jude, Avraham Turgeman, Claudiu Boțoc
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要目的是研究2012年5月至2022年8月期间某些商品的能源市场(原油、天然气和电力)实现波动率是否表现出对称或不对称行为。我们考虑这个时间框架来收集数据,因为它是在2007年开始的金融危机的广泛研究时期之后。我们考虑了欧洲斯托克600指数,该指数代表了欧盟17个国家的大型、中型和小型公司。其次,我们想要检验能源市场和股票市场之间在实现波动率方面是否存在相似之处。对于能源市场,结果与不对称波动率的杠杆假设一致,即相同幅度的负收益和正收益对波动率的影响不同。此外,波动性对其在市场上的滞后值比对新信息更为敏感。此外,在整个周期内,能源市场和股票市场的波动性都是不对称的,但不同的子周期会产生不同的结果。这些结果强化了在投资组合和风险管理过程中必须考虑的分散原则。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Recent Examination of Energy Markets Volatility
Abstract The main aim of the paper is to examine if the energy market (crude oil, gas and electricity) realized volatility exhibits a symmetric or an asymmetric behaviour, for certain commodities over the period May 2012 – August 2022. We considered this time frame for data collection because it is ensuing after the extensively researched period of the financial crises that started in 2007. We took into consideration the STOXX Europe 600 index representing large, mid and small capitalization companies across 17 countries from the European Union. Subsidiary we want to examine if there are similarities in term of realized volatility between energy markets and equity markets. For energy markets the results are consistent with the leverage hypothesis of the asymmetric volatility, i.e. negative and positive returns with the same magnitude have different impact on volatility. Furthermore the volatility is more sensitive to its lagged values in the market place than it is to new information. In addition, for the entire period volatility is asymmetric for both energy and equity markets, but there are different sub-periods with different results. These results reinforce the diversification principle that must be considered in portfolio and risk management process.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.30
自引率
16.70%
发文量
20
审稿时长
30 weeks
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