政治竞选中的负面营销及其对印度千禧一代投票决策的影响

Nicolas Hamelin, Kabir Mandrekar, T. Harcar
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引用次数: 2

摘要

2017年,在国大党统治15年后,印度现任执政党人民党赢得了北方邦选举,这是前所未有的。2016年,当所有的民意调查专家和权威人士对正在进行的美国总统大选进行统计分析并预测希拉里·克林顿获胜时,他们都错了。虽然这些结果在专家眼中似乎是奇迹,但所有这些政党的政治活动人士所执行的谨慎策略涉及到一个独特的市场细分过程,但更重要的是,他们有效地操纵了社交媒体,足以改变投票行为。在这项研究中,我们进行了一项研究,模拟了三个印度政党的社交媒体政治活动,并衡量了正面和负面假新闻对印度千禧一代投票意愿的影响。我们向参与者提交了一系列正面或负面的新闻——都是虚构的——关于三个主要的印度政治人物,拉胡尔·甘地,阿温德·凯杰里瓦尔和纳伦德拉·莫迪,同时监测他们的潜意识情绪状态。结果令人震惊。我们发现,仅仅60秒就足以提高参与者的情绪状态,并显著改变参与者对这些政治家的看法和评分。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Negative Marketing in Political Campaigns and Its Effect on the Voting Decision of the Indian Millennial
In an unprecedented event, the current ruling party of India – the BJP - won the UP election in 2017 after 15 years of domination by the Congress. In 2016, when all the pollsters and pundits statistically analyzed the ongoing election for US Presidency and predicted a Hillary Clinton victory, they all got it wrong. While the results seem miraculous in the eyes of the experts, the careful strategy executed by the political campaigners of all these parties involved a unique process of market segmentation, but more importantly, an effective manipulation of social media that was strong enough to change voting behavior. In this research we conducted a study that mimicked a social media political campaign of three Indian political parties and measured the effect of positive and negative fake news on the voting intention of the Indian millennial. We submitted the participants to a series or positive or negative news – all fabricated – about 3 main Indian political figures, Rahul Gandhi, Arvind Kejriwal and Narendra Modi, while monitoring their subconscious emotional state. The results were stunning. We found that a mere 60 seconds was enough to heighten the participant emotional state and significantly alter participant perception and ratings about these politicians.
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