新冠肺炎疫情及其对变化世界的瀑布效应述评

M. Kapur, Tirupathi Anand, A. Banerjee
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引用次数: 0

摘要

截至2020年8月7日,2019年新型冠状病毒已在全球影响了1930多万人,造成71.8万多人死亡。这种疾病被命名为“covid - 19”,导致它的病毒是严重急性呼吸综合征冠状病毒-2 (SARS-COV-2)。在2020年前夕,当全世界都在庆祝新年的时候,病毒正在分分钟释放并征服新的领土。那么,一种据说起源于中国武汉的小病毒是如何造成如此大的破坏的呢?一种类似流感症状的病毒是如何束缚经济并改变我们生活的世界的?是什么原因使各国政府宣布救济、财政和经济一揽子计划,以防止大规模的经济崩溃?答案在于病毒如何使人类在新世界中生活。保持社交距离是导致人与人之间互动减少的新常态。接下来,政府宣布的大规模关闭导致金融市场、证券交易所、公司办公室、贸易交易所以及一些活动关闭。没有一个国家能够免受2019冠状病毒病瀑布效应带来的冲击。病毒传播的复合速度暗示,几个部门将受到严重破坏。本文将分析2019冠状病毒病在2020年上半年(2020年1月至6月)对几个行业的瀑布效应,并确定截至2020年8月7日,受影响最大的5个国家和阿联酋政府宣布的财政、经济和货币政策。该研究将定性地确定封锁和社会距离如何改变我们生活的世界,并为未来的流行病/危机提供某些建议,作为研究贡献的一部分。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Review of COVID-19 and Its Waterfall Effect on the Changed World
2019 novel coronavirus has affected over 19.3 million people and caused over 718 thousand deaths globally (as at 7 August 2020). The disease was named as “Covid19” and the virus that causes it was Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Corona Virus -2 (SARS-COV-2). On the eve of 2020, when the whole world was celebrating the new year, the virus was unleashing and conquering new territories, minute by minute. So, how come a small virus that is said to have originated from Wuhan, China was able to create such a big havoc? How did a flu-like-symptom virus was able to shackle economies and change the world we live in? What caused Governments to announce relief, fiscal and economic packages to prevent the large-scale economic collapse? The response lies in the way the virus made man-kind to live in the new world. Social distancing was the new norm that led to fewer interactions among people. Next, mass scale shut downs announced by the governments led to closure of financial markets, stock exchanges, corporate offices, exchange of trade as well as several events. No country was immune by the shocks caused by the waterfall effect of COVID19. The compounding rate at which the virus spread hinted several sectors were going to be severely disrupted. The current paper will analyze the waterfall effect of COVID19 on several sectors in the first half of 2020 (Jan to June 2020) and ascertain the fiscal, economic and monetary policies announced by governments in the top 5 affected countries and UAE as at 7 August 2020. The study will qualitatively ascertain how lockdowns and social distancing changed the world we live in and provide certain recommendations for future pandemics/ crises as part of research contribution.
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