基于新型流行病学分形模型的2021年8月24日至7月31日意大利阿普利亚地区CoViD-19-SARS-CoV-2每日传染预测

viXra Pub Date : 2020-10-01 DOI:10.21203/rs.3.rs-98910/v1

Calogero Rinzivillo, S. Conte, F. Casciaro, R. Bernardini, E. Benigni, I. Monte, F. Kaleagasioglu, F. Wang, C. Mordeniz, G. Liberti, E. Conte

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摘要

我们研究了一个新的分形模型，用于预测2020年8月24日至2018年7月31日在意大利普利亚地区的CoViD-19 (Sarbeco Betavirus SARS-CoV-2)的传染。我们得出，预计高峰时间为2020年12月7日，感染病例约为575例。

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Prediction of daily contagions of CoViD-19-SARS-CoV-2 from August 24 to July 31, 2021 in Apulia, a region of Italy, by using a New Epidemiologic Fractal Model.

We study a new fractal model for prediction of contagions of CoViD-19 (Sarbeco Betavirus SARS-CoV-2) from August 24, 2020 to July 31, 20201 in Apulia that is a region of Italy. We obtain that the time of the peak is estimated to be at December 7, 2020 and the number of contagions will be about 575 cases.

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