评估乌克兰银行安全水平作为乌克兰金融安全的组成部分

IF 0.5 Q4 ECONOMICS
I. M. Miro
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这篇文章致力于解决乌克兰银行安全问题。对乌克兰银行系统安全评估的理论和方法规定进行了审议,其发展方向也得到了证实。银行安全是一个国家的银行机构的金融稳定水平,它允许确保国家银行体系的效率和保护免受外部和内部不稳定因素的影响,而不考虑经营条件。本文根据2013年10月29日№1277“关于批准乌克兰经济安全水平评估指南”的命令给出的方法分析银行安全。计算了领先安全指标。考虑到指标的定量分配和每个指标的份额,计算了2010-2020年动态中的乌克兰银行安全综合指标。对银行安全的各个指标分别进行了分析,对银行安全的综合指标进行了动态分析。在分析期间,乌克兰银行系统的安全水平最高的是2013年,最低的是2015年。在2014-2015年期间,银行业的安全水平下降了两次——从几乎令人满意的水平(0.61)降至几乎危急的水平(0.30)。提出了消极趋势的原因,并提出了提高安全水平的方法。根据评估,已经确定了最重大的威胁,例如:乌克兰银行系统的不良贷款(份额)很高(其份额是世界上最高的之一);加强长期贷款和存款的不平衡,从而造成所谓“长期资源”的赤字,这是乌克兰恢复经济增长的重要先决条件,从长远来看也是银行的收入来源;加强外国金融集团资本的影响力:银行体系中几乎是外国资本的关键部分,在40%的危险水平和60%的关键水平之间波动,在这种趋势下,乌克兰银行业可能部分或完全丧失独立性;资产收益率(ROA)表现为极负的结果,具有非营利性的特征;乌克兰银行体系高度集中:2019-2020年五大银行的资产份额与2018年相比有所下降,但仍然更加关键:分别为86%和74%,但这种下降是微不足道的,有必要继续在银行业进行去垄断,使这一数字更接近最佳的30%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ASSESSMENT OF THE LEVEL OF BANKING SECURITY IN UKRAINE AS THE COMPONENT OF FINANCIAL SECURITY IN UKRAINE
The article is dedicated to the problems of ensuring the banking security in Ukraine. Theoretical and methodological provisions for security assessment of the banking system in Ukraine have been considered, the directions of its development have been substantiated. Banking security is the level of financial stability of the country’s banking institutions, which allows to ensure the efficiency of the country’s banking system and protection from external and internal destabilizing factors, regardless of the operation conditions. The article analyzes the banking security on the basis of the approach given in the Order № 1277 “On approval of Guidelines for assessment of the economic security level in Ukraine” from 29.10.2013. The leading safety indicators have been calculated. Owing to the rationing of indicators and the share of each indicator being taken into account, the Integrated Indicator of Banking Security in Ukraine in the dynamics for 2010–2020 has been calculated. Each indicator separately and the integrated indicator of banking security in dynamics have been analyzed. During the analyzed period, the highest level of security of the banking system in Ukraine was observed in 2013, and the lowest – in 2015. During 2014–2015, the level of security in the banking sector decreased twice – from an almost satisfactory level (0.61) to an almost critical level (0.30). The reasons for the negative trends have been presented and ways to enhance the level of security have been suggested. Based on the assessment, the most significant threats have been identified, such as: high level (share) of non-performing loans in the banking system in Ukraine (their share is one of the highest in the world); strengthening of the imbalance of long-term loans and deposits, as a result the deficit of so-called “long resources”, which are an important prerequisite for the resumption of economic growth in Ukraine and in the long run a source of income for banks; strengthening of the influence of capital of foreign financial groups: almost critical part of foreign capital in the banking system, which fluctuates between a dangerous level of 40% and a critical level of 60%, with such a trend, there may be a partial or complete loss of independence in the banking sector of Ukraine; return on assets (ROA) shows extremely negative results and is characterized as non-profit; high degree of concentration of the banking system in Ukraine: the share of assets of the five largest banks in 2019–2020 decreased compared to 2018, but still remains more critical: 86 and 74%, respectively, but this decrease is insignificant, it is necessary to continue demonopolization in the banking sector to bring this figure closer to the optimal 30%.
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EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW
EGE ACADEMIC REVIEW ECONOMICS-
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