国际南北运输走廊:俄印互联互通的前景与挑战

IF 0.2 Q4 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS
A. Zakharov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

互联互通一直是俄印两国发展贸易合作最具挑战性的问题之一。由于两国之间的地理距离,以及阿富汗不稳定的安全环境和印度与巴基斯坦之间的边界争端,建立一条直接和最短的运输路线已被证明是困难的,从而使得不可能实施关键的能源基础设施项目。本文简要概述了俄罗斯和印度之间的物流运作,主要依赖于通过苏伊士运河的航运,重点是乌克兰冲突后的发展。作者简要探讨了俄罗斯远东地区和印度港口之间海上连通的前景,并强调了启动定期海参崴-钦奈走廊的几个挑战。美国和欧洲对俄罗斯经济的制裁,加上随后海上货物运输的困难,重振了俄罗斯完成国际南北运输走廊(INSTC)的努力。这条走廊为俄罗斯扩大其对印度、波斯湾和东非的影响力提供了巨大的潜力。此外,据信该项目将促进印度与高加索、中亚和东欧国家的互联互通。因此,本文特别研究了陆地走廊的案例,探讨了其目前的实施进展、所涉及的地缘经济因素、现有挑战以及与其他倡议(如欧洲-高加索-亚洲运输走廊(TRACECA)、“一带一路”倡议(BRI)和恰巴哈尔港)兼容的机会。作者认为,尽管两国之间的互联互通项目的实施不会解决两国贸易关系中的结构性问题,但双方在促进基础设施发展以与新地区进行更深入的接触方面都有既得利益。为了从质量上促进俄印贸易,应在解决金融交易结算、消除关税和非关税壁垒等其他问题的同时,制定负担得起的物流解决方案。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The International North-South Transport Corridor: The Prospects and Challenges for Connectivity between Russia and India
Connectivity has been one of the most challenging issues for developing trade cooperation between Russia and India. Due to the geographic distance separating the two nations, along with the unstable security environment in Afghanistan and border disputes between India and Pakistan, the creation of a direct and shortest transport route has proven difficult, thereby rendering it impossible to implement crucial projects in energy infrastructure.This paper briefly outlines the functioning logistics between Russia and India, which has relied primarily on shipping through the Suez Canal, with an emphasis on the developments in the wake of conflict in Ukraine. The author briefly explores the prospects for maritime connectivity between the Russian Far East and Indian ports, and highlights several challenges for launching a regular Vladivostok-Chennai corridor.The US and European sanctions against the Russian economy, combined with subsequent difficulties in transporting goods by sea, has reinvigorated Russia's efforts to complete the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC). This corridor holds significant potential for Russia to expand its reach to India, the Persian Gulf, and East Africa. Additionally, it is believed that the project may facilitate India's connectivity with countries in the Caucasus, Central Asia, and Eastern Europe. Therefore, this paper particularly examines the case of the land corridor, exploring its current progress in implementation, the geoeconomic factors involved, existing challenges, and opportunities for compatibility with other initiatives, such as the Europe-Caucasus-Asia Transport Corridor (TRACECA), the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), and the Chabahar port.The author argues that, although the implementation of connectivity projects between the two countries will not solve structural problems in their trade relationship, both have a vested interest in promoting infrastructure development for a deeper engagement with new regions. To qualitatively boost Russian-Indian trade, affordable logistical solutions should be developed simultaneously with the resolution of other issues like the settlements for financial transactions, and the elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers.
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来源期刊
MGIMO Review of International Relations
MGIMO Review of International Relations INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS-
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
46
审稿时长
12 weeks
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