当妈妈成为保姆:父母退休对几代人的影响

Yi Chen, Xiaoyun Zhang
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引用次数: 3

摘要

本文通过代际时间转移分析了父母退休对下一代的影响。我们调查了一系列的后果,包括妇女的时间分配,生育决策,劳动力参与和主观幸福感。本研究使用来自中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)的数据,并采用回归不连续估计来解释母亲退休决定的潜在内生性。中国的法定退休年龄(蓝领女性为50岁)被用作退休决定的外生变量。结果表明,母亲退休使女性每周的育儿时间减少了8小时。与此同时,岳母的退休使有子女妇女的就业率显著提高了12%。女性也更有可能在母亲的退休年龄前后生孩子。本文为有关退休代际效应的文献提供了新发现,并为中国养老金改革延迟退休的代际效应提供了重要证据。由于2016年实施的二孩政策,预计未来几年的影响将更大。结果表明,如果政府想要提高女性的劳动参与率,就需要改善和发展托儿服务。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
When Mommies Become Nannies: The Effects of Parental Retirement Across Generations
This paper analyzes the effect of parental retirement on the next generation through intergenerational time transfer. We investigate a series of consequences, including women's time allocation, fertility decisions, labor force participation, and subjective well-being. The study uses data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) and employs regression discontinuity estimation to account for the potential endogeneity in mothers' retirement decisions. The mandatory retirement age (50 for blue-collar women) in China is used as an exogenous variation of retirement decisions. The results show that maternal retirement decreases women's childcare time by eight hours per week. At the same time, the retirement of mothers/in-law significantly increases the employment rate of women with children by 12%. Women are also more likely to give birth around their mother's retirement age. This paper contributes new findings to the literature on the intergenerational effects of retirement and provides important evidence of the intergenerational consequences of pension reforms that delay retirement in China. The effects are expected to be larger in the coming years as a result of the two-child policy implemented in 2016. The results suggest that childcare services need to be improved and developed if the government wants to increase female labor force participation.
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