城市人口流动:数据驱动的建模与预测

Jinzhong Wang, Xiangjie Kong, Feng Xia, Lijun Sun
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引用次数: 61

摘要

人体流动性是物理学和计算机科学的一个多学科领域,近年来引起了人们的广泛关注。人们提出了一些有代表性的模型和预测方法来模拟和预测人类的流动性。然而,来自手持终端、GPS和社交媒体的多源异构数据为从定量和微观角度探索城市人口流动模式提供了新的动力。人类移动建模与预测研究在城市规划、疫情防控、位置服务、智能交通管理等一系列应用中发挥着至关重要的作用。在这项调查中,我们回顾了基于以人为中心的角度在数据驱动的背景下的人类移动模型。具体来说,我们从个体、集体和混合水平来描述人类流动模式。同时,从四个方面对人类流动性预测方法进行了综述,并分别描述了近年来的发展情况。最后,我们讨论了一些有待解决的问题,为今后的研究方向提供了有益的参考。这篇综述不仅为想要快速了解人类流动性的初学者奠定了坚实的基础,也为研究者如何建立统一的人类流动性模型提供了有益的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Urban Human Mobility: Data-Driven Modeling and Prediction
Human mobility is a multidisciplinary field of physics and computer science and has drawn a lot of attentions in recent years. Some representative models and prediction approaches have been proposed for modeling and predicting human mobility. However, multi-source heterogeneous data from handheld terminals, GPS, and social media, provides a new driving force for exploring urban human mobility patterns from a quantitative and microscopic perspective. The studies of human mobility modeling and prediction play a vital role in a series of applications such as urban planning, epidemic control, location-based services, and intelligent transportation management. In this survey, we review human mobility models based on a human-centric angle in a datadriven context. Specifically, we characterize human mobility patterns from individual, collective, and hybrid levels. Meanwhile, we survey human mobility prediction methods from four aspects and then describe recent development respectively. Finally, we discuss some open issues that provide a helpful reference for researchers' future direction. This review not only lays a solid foundation for beginners who want to acquire a quick understanding of human mobility but also provides helpful information for researchers on how to develop a unified human mobility model.
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