撒哈拉以南非洲的私人投资:动态小组方法

K. Shawa, F. Mwega, D. Kulundu
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引用次数: 7

摘要

我们同时使用第一差分和系统GMM来模拟撒哈拉以南非洲的私人投资。结果表明,私人投资率具有持续性,经常账户赤字、通货膨胀、人均收入、人均收入增长、人口增长、公共投资率、实际利率、总偿债额/GDP、债务存量/GDP、贸易条件增长、贸易开放程度和政治环境共同对私人投资产生显著影响。根据研究结果,提出了一系列广泛的政策建议,包括减少通货膨胀、改善基础设施、有效利用国内资源、促进出口的政策和解决冲突的机制,以创造吸引私人投资的政治环境。政策框架还应考虑到私人投资率的持久性,同时铭记私人投资率的重要调整作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Private Investment In Sub-Saharan Africa: a Dynamic Panel Approach
We use both the first-difference and the System GMM to model private investment in Sub-Saharan Africa. Results show that the private investment rate is persistent and that, current account deficit, inflation, per capita income, per capita income growth, population growth, public investment rate, real interest rate, total debt service/GDP, debt stock/GDP, terms of trade growth, trade openness, and the political environment jointly exert a significant impact on private investment. Based on the results, a broad range of policies has been suggested including, inflation reduction, improvement in infrastructure, efficient utilization of domestic resources, export promoting policies, and conflict resolution mechanisms to create political environments that attract private investment. The policy framework should also take into account the persistent nature of the private investment rate, bearing in mind the important adjustment effects of the private investment rate.
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