本杰明·格雷厄姆的选股标准检验——以2000 - 2009年马来西亚富时证券指数为例

De-Chiuan Chang
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引用次数: 11

摘要

本杰明·格雷厄姆,也被称为“价值投资之父”,他提出,如果投资者仔细考虑购买,在证券交易所投资可以是一项安全的努力,同时获得超过市场的收益。本研究的目的是确定是否使用一些本杰明·格雷厄姆的选股标准能够产生显著大于回报在马来西亚证券交易所,特别是,综合富时马来西亚证券交易所EMAS指数。本研究收集了2000年至2009年马来西亚富时证券指数(FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index)上市公司基本面的二手数据。本研究基于市盈率、市净率、流动比率和股息率的一个或组合,建立了五个标准。上市公司是根据这些标准进行筛选的。通过筛选的公司及其一年和两年的回报计算,创建了一个同等权重的投资组合。这些回报与市场回报进行了比较。采用t检验统计量检验本研究的假设,以确定数据的显著性。这项研究发现,所使用的大多数筛选标准几乎在测试的每一年都产生了高于市场回报的回报。本杰明·格雷厄姆的选股标准虽然是在80多年前提出的,但在今天的马来西亚市场仍然适用。进一步的研究可以用不同的标准,不同的持有期和不同的市场进行。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Testing some of Benjamin Graham’s Stock Selection Criteria: A Case of the FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index from Year 2000 to 2009
Benjamin Graham, also known as the “father of value investing” proposed that investment in the stock exchange can be a safe endeavor while receiving gains that outperform the market if the investor makes carefully thought out purchases. This study aims to determine if the use of some of Benjamin Graham’s stock selection criteria is able to generate returns that are significantly greater than the returns in the stock exchange of Malaysia, particularly, the comprehensive FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index. This study collected secondary data regarding fundamentals of companies listed in the FTSE Bursa Malaysia EMAS Index from the year 2000 to 2009. Five criteria were set up in this research based on one or a combination of price-to-earnings ratio, price-to-book value, current ratio and dividend yield. The listed companies were screened using those criteria. An equally weighted portfolio was created using the screened companies and their one-year and two-year returns calculated. The returns were compared to the market return. Hypotheses of this research were tested using t-test statistic to determine the significance of the data. This research found that most of the screening criteria used generated returns that were higher than the market return in almost every year they were tested in. Benjamin Graham’s stock selection criteria although have been conceived over 80 years ago is still applicable today in the Malaysian market. Further research can be conducted with different criteria with varying holding periods and in different markets.
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