具有两两相互作用的精确可理解模型

Yin Lou, R. Caruana, J. Gehrke, G. Hooker
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引用次数: 406

摘要

标准广义加性模型(GAMs)通常将因变量建模为单变量模型的和。尽管先前的研究表明,标准GAMs可以被用户解释,但其准确性明显低于允许交互的更复杂的模型。在本文中,我们建议在标准GAMs中添加交互特征对的选定项。所得模型,我们称之为GA2{M}$-模型,用于广义加性模型加相互作用,由单变量项和少量成对相互作用项组成。由于这些模型只包含一维和二维组件,因此ga2m模型的组件可以被用户可视化和解释。为了探索巨大的(二次)数量的特征对,我们开发了一种新的,计算效率高的方法,称为FAST,用于将所有可能的特征对作为候选特征纳入模型。在大规模的实证研究中,我们证明了FAST在对候选特征对排序方面的有效性。此外,我们还展示了令人惊讶的结果,即ga2m模型在许多真实数据集上具有与最佳全复杂度模型几乎相同的性能。因此,本文假设对于许多问题,ga2m模型可以产生既可理解又准确的模型。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Accurate intelligible models with pairwise interactions
Standard generalized additive models (GAMs) usually model the dependent variable as a sum of univariate models. Although previous studies have shown that standard GAMs can be interpreted by users, their accuracy is significantly less than more complex models that permit interactions. In this paper, we suggest adding selected terms of interacting pairs of features to standard GAMs. The resulting models, which we call GA2{M}$-models, for Generalized Additive Models plus Interactions, consist of univariate terms and a small number of pairwise interaction terms. Since these models only include one- and two-dimensional components, the components of GA2M-models can be visualized and interpreted by users. To explore the huge (quadratic) number of pairs of features, we develop a novel, computationally efficient method called FAST for ranking all possible pairs of features as candidates for inclusion into the model. In a large-scale empirical study, we show the effectiveness of FAST in ranking candidate pairs of features. In addition, we show the surprising result that GA2M-models have almost the same performance as the best full-complexity models on a number of real datasets. Thus this paper postulates that for many problems, GA2M-models can yield models that are both intelligible and accurate.
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