数据驱动的足球球探协助模拟球员的表现外推

Shantanu Ghar, Sayali Patil, Venkhatesh Arunachalam
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引用次数: 1

摘要

在俱乐部足球中,球探是球员招募的一个重要方面,精英足球俱乐部每年都会投资数百万美元用于球探并为球队签下最好的球员。球探需要出色的分析和观察能力,以便为球队的任何位置找到最好的球员。侦察员需要通过观察玩家在游戏中的行为、身体属性来分析玩家,并判断玩家是否适合团队。每支球队都有一个阵型,一种比赛风格,一个特定的球员需要一个特定的位置,这取决于上述因素。但球探只会亲自观看球员的几场比赛,并根据球员在这些比赛中的表现准备球探报告。这个过程是有缺陷的,因为球探需要看几场比赛,并对球员在新球队的表现做出估计。球员统计数据可以帮助球探做出更好的数据驱动决策。球员的职业生涯数据可以提供球员个人表现的画面,但它们无法预测球员在球队中的化学反应。球探中的错误判断可能会给俱乐部造成数百万美元的损失。我们建议通过利用大量的定量和定性球员统计数据(来自3个以上的来源)来解决这个问题,并结合数据科学和机器学习算法来模拟新球员加入后球队在现实世界中的表现。我们会考虑特定的球员需求,并将球员分为15种特定的球员类型之一,并使用球队的阵型和打法来预测在任何给定阵容中最能产生最佳化学反应的球员,从而帮助球探做出更好的决策。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Data Driven football scouting assistance with simulated player performance extrapolation
In club football, scouting is a crucial aspect of player recruitment, with elite football clubs investing millions of dollars in scouting and signing the best player for their team every year. Scouting requires great analytical and observational skills from the scout, to find the best player for any position in the team. A scout needs to analyze the player by watching his in-game actions, physical attributes and make a judgement on how the player might fit into the team. Every team has a formation, a style of play and a specific profile of player is required for a given position depending on the aforementioned factors. But scouts only watch a player play a few matches in person, and prepare their scouting report based on a player’s performance in those matches. This process is flawed as the scout is expected to watch a few games and make estimates of the player’s performance in a new team. The player statistics can help the scout in making better data-driven decisions. A player’s career statistics can provide a picture of how the player performs individually, but they fail to predict player chemistry alongside a team. Misjudgement in scouting can lead to losses of millions of dollars to a club. We propose to solve this problem by utilising vast amounts of quantitative and qualitative player statistics (from 3+ sources), and by incorporating data science and machine learning algorithms to simulate real world performances of the team after the addition of the newly scouted player. We take into account specific player requirements and classify a player into one of our specific 15 player types, and use the team’s formation and style of play to predict the players that will have the best chemistry with any given lineup, thereby facilitating scouts in making better decisions.
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