伊朗家庭规模与结构:1976-2006

A. Aghajanian, V. Thompson
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引用次数: 8

摘要

除了重大的政治变化,伊朗在过去的四十年(1976-2006)中经历了大量的人口和经济变化。首先,在这一时期,婚姻和生育方面发生了一些戏剧性的变化,生育率急剧下降到更替水平,一项强有力的农村公共卫生计划的扩大提高了儿童存活率,男女结婚年龄都提高了,离婚率也有所上升。这些变化是在社会结构变化的背景下发生的,城市化从1976年的不到40%增加到2006年的68%,经济从农业基础向制造业和服务业显著转移。本文在此期间经历的其他变化的背景下,报告了1976-2006年期间伊朗家庭转型的分析。我们发现,尽管生育率发生了重大转变,其他人口和社会结构也发生了变化,预计将导致夫妻家庭模式的转变,但截至2006年,伊朗仍有很大一部分家庭拥有5名或更多成员,大家庭的比例略有下降。目前尚不清楚这种情况是由于大规模和扩展的共同居住家庭的连续性选择性还是住房压力的结果,特别是在城市地区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Household Size and Structure in Iran: 1976-2006
In addition to significant political changes, Iran has experienced a multitude of demographic and economic changes during the last four decades (1976-2006). First, there have been somewhat dramatic changes in marriage and reproduction during this period, with a sharp lowering of fertility to replacement level, an expansion of a strong rural public health program that has increased child survival, increase in age of marriage for both males and females, and an increase in the divorce rate. These changes took place in the context of structural changes in the society, with an increase in urbanization from below 40 percent in 1976 to 68 percent in 2006 and a marked transference in the economy from an agricultural base to manufacturing and service. This paper reports on the analysis of this household transition in Iran during the 1976-2006 period in the context of other changes experienced in this period. We find that despite significant fertility transition along with other demographic and social structural changes, which are expected to lead to conjugal family patterns, as of 2006, a large proportion of households in Iran continue to have five or more members and there has been very modest decline in the share of extended households. It is not clear if this situation is due to the selectivity in continuity of large and extended co- residential households or the result of housing pressure particularly in urban areas.
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