利用抽样调查评估奥地利2020年SARS-CoV-2的流行情况——一份报告

IF 0.6 Q4 STATISTICS & PROBABILITY

Austrian Journal of Statistics Pub Date : 2022-08-22 DOI:10.17713/ajs.v51i3.1320

A. Kowarik, M. Paškvan, Marlene Weinauer, Matthias Till, Karin Schrittwieser, T. Göllner

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引用次数: 0

摘要

自SARS-CoV-2大流行开始以来，一个主要指标是在任何给定时间内受感染的人数。我们在2020年4月、5月和11月三个不同的时间点对奥地利急性感染SARS-CoV-2的人口进行了有效评估。这些抽样调查的人口包括16岁或以上居住在私人家庭的人。使用鼻咽拭子对参与者进行PCR(聚合酶链反应)测试。根据这些测试，假设4月份急性SARS-CoV-2感染人数低于11,000人，占目标人群的0.15%，5月份低于6,000人，11月份低于26.5万人(即95%置信区间的上限)。11月，与奥地利流行病学报告系统的比较显示，估计有50%以上的急性感染未被官方报告义务发现。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Assessing SARS-CoV-2 Prevalence in Austria with Sample Surveys in 2020 - A Report

Since the beginning of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic a main metric is the amount of infected people at any given time. We present a valid assessment of the population acutely infected by SARS-CoV-2 in Austria at three distinct points in time: April, May and November 2020. The population of these sample surveys includes people aged 16 or older living in private households.Participants were tested with PCR (polymerase chain reaction) tests using nose-throat swabs. Based on these tests, it is assumed that the number of acute SARS-CoV-2 infections was below 11,000 individuals, or 0.15\% of the target population, in April, below 6,000, in May and below 265,000 in November (i.e. the upper limit of the 95\% confidence interval). In November a comparison with the Austrian Epidemiological Reporting System reveals that more than estimated 50\% of acute infections remain undetected by the official reporting obligations.

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来源期刊

Austrian Journal of Statistics STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-

CiteScore

1.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

24 weeks

期刊介绍： The Austrian Journal of Statistics is an open-access journal (without any fees) with a long history and is published approximately quarterly by the Austrian Statistical Society. Its general objective is to promote and extend the use of statistical methods in all kind of theoretical and applied disciplines. The Austrian Journal of Statistics is indexed in many data bases, such as Scopus (by Elsevier), Web of Science - ESCI by Clarivate Analytics (formely Thompson & Reuters), DOAJ, Scimago, and many more. The current estimated impact factor (via Publish or Perish) is 0.775, see HERE, or even more indices HERE. Austrian Journal of Statistics ISNN number is 1026597X Original papers and review articles in English will be published in the Austrian Journal of Statistics if judged consistently with these general aims. All papers will be refereed. Special topics sections will appear from time to time. Each section will have as a theme a specialized area of statistical application, theory, or methodology. Technical notes or problems for considerations under Shorter Communications are also invited. A special section is reserved for book reviews.