对隔离期间冠状病毒(COVID-19)最优预防算法进行预测分析

J. A. C. Ch, J. Sotelo, Benjamin Barriga Gamarra, Julio Guevara Guevara, John Lozano Jauregui, Juan Lengua Arteaga, Gonzalo Solano
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究解释了该算法的应用,该算法旨在为医生提供统计支持。从这项研究中获得的支持寻求对COVID-19感染者率和因该病毒死亡的人率等参数的紧急解释。此外,该研究还实现了由一个数学模型提供的预测率,该模型观察并调整了来自其他国家的真实统计数据,这些国家的政府正在努力寻找防止COVID-19传播的解决方案。这意味着,为了获得准确的预测结果,有必要分析中国和其他国家恢复正常活动的统计行为,就像病毒强制将人口限制在家中一样。另一方面,总结了该病毒的生长问题,并就如何避免对人们的健康和经济造成严重并发症提出了一些建议(例如,以隔离日为主要应对措施来减弱该病毒的发展)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANÁLISIS PREDICTIVO DEL ALGORITMO PARA UNA PREVENCIÓN ÓPTIMA EN EL TIEMPO DE CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19) DURANTE LOS DÍAS DE CUARENTENA
This research explains the applications of the algorithm that was designed to provide statistical support for medical doctors. The support that was achieved from this research looks for an urgent interpretation of parameters such as the rate of infected people by COVID-19 and the rate of deceased people because of this virus. Furthermore, this research achieves prediction rates that were provided by a mathematical model that observes and adapts real statistical data from other countries, where governments are trying to find solutions against of COVID-19 propagation. It means, in order to get accuracy in prediction results, it was necessary to analyse what was the statistical behaviour from China and other countries that returned to normal activities as it was before virus imposed to confine population inside homes. On the other hand, it is summarized the virus problematic growth and some suggestions, how to avoid deep complications in health and economy of people (for instance, quarantine days as the main response to attenuate advance of this virus).
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