世界五大经济体股票市场动态相关性研究——基于DCC-GARCH模型

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Xiao-chun Sun, Jiaqi Liu, Jihong Zhang, Chengjun Wang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

各国股票市场的动态相关性引起了学者和金融投资者的关注。本文结合动态条件相关模型和广义自回归条件异方差模型,针对上证综合指数、道琼斯指数、英国金融时报100指数、法兰克福DAX指数和日经指数5个指数,分析了中国、美国、英国、德国和日本股票数据的动态条件相关系数矩阵。结果表明,各国股票市场之间存在一定的相关性,特别是富时指数收益率与GDAXI指数的相关系数达到0.96,相关性较强。本研究结论可为全球经济复苏提供建设性建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Dynamic Correlation of Stock Markets in the World’s Five Largest Economies—Based on DCC-GARCH Model
The dynamic correlation of stock markets in various countries has attracted the attention of scholars and financial investors. In this paper, the dynamic conditional correlation model and the generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity model are combined to analyze the dynamic conditional correlation coefficient matrix of the stock data of China, the United States, Britain, Germany and Japan, aiming at the five indexes of the Shanghai Securities Composite Index, the Dow Jones Index, the Financial Times Stock Exchange 100 Index, the Frankfurt DAX Index and the Nikkei Index. The results show that there is a certain correlation between the stock markets of various countries, especially the correlation coefficient of the yield of the FTSE index and the GDAXI index reaches 0.96, which a strong correlation. The conclusions of this study can provide constructive suggestions for global economic recovery.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies
International Journal of Economics and Finance Studies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (miscellaneous)
CiteScore
3.40
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审稿时长
12 weeks
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