房价、房屋净值和个人债务构成

Jie Li, Xin Zhang
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引用次数: 6

摘要

使用个人债务构成的月度面板数据集,包括抵押贷款和非抵押消费信贷,我们表明房价变化可以解释个人债务构成动态的很大一部分。我们利用地方房价增长的变化作为房主住房财富的冲击来研究个人债务构成的相应调整。为了解释当地需求冲击并将住房抵押渠道与财富效应分开,我们使用同一地区的租房者和非股权提取房主作为对照组。我们提供的直接证据表明,在房地产繁荣时期,房主通过使用撤回的房屋净值来偿还相对昂贵的短期非抵押贷款,特别是无担保消费贷款,从而重新优化了他们的债务结构。我们还发现,房主撤回房屋净值,以资助他们的创业活动。我们的研究揭示了个人债务构成随房价变化的动态变化。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
House Prices, Home Equity, and Personal Debt Composition
Using a monthly panel dataset of individuals' debt composition including mortgage and non-mortgage consumer credit, we show that house price changes can explain a significant fraction of personal debt composition dynamics. We exploit the variation in local house price growth as shocks to homeowners' housing wealth to study the consequential adjustment of personal debt composition. To account for local demand shocks and disentangle the housing collateral channel from the wealth effect, we use renters and non-equity-withdrawal homeowners in the same region as control groups. We present direct evidence that homeowners reoptimize their debt structure by using withdrawn home equity to pay down comparatively expensive short-term non-mortgage debt during a housing boom, unsecured consumer loans in particular. We also find that homeowners withdraw home equity to finance their entrepreneurial activities. Our study sheds new light on the dynamics of personal debt composition in response to changes in house prices.
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