流行病传播:针对COVID-19的量身定制模型

Q4 Physics and Astronomy

Europhysics News Pub Date : 2020-09-01 DOI:10.1051/epn/2020507

A. Arenas, J. Gómez-Gardeñes, C. Granell, D. Soriano-Paños

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引用次数: 1

摘要

一个世纪前提出的一个非常简单的流行病模型是当前COVID-19流行病传播数学模型的关键。如今，对易感、感染和康复个体的人口抽象划分，加上地理区域内流动网络的精确信息，是物理学界预测当前大流行情景中传染病可能演变的最佳武器。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Epidemic spreading: Tailored models for COVID-19

A very simple epidemic model proposed a century ago is the linchpin of the current mathematical models of the epidemic spreading of the COVID-19. Nowadays, the abstracted compartmentalisation of the population in susceptible, infected and recovered individuals, combined with precise information about the networks of mobility flows within geographical territories, is the best weapon of the physics community to forecast the possible evolution of contagions in the current pandemic scenario.

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来源期刊

Europhysics News Physics and Astronomy-Physics and Astronomy (all)

CiteScore

0.50

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Europhysics News is the magazine of the European physics community. It is owned by the European Physical Society and produced in cooperation with EDP Sciences. It is distributed to all our Individual Members and many institutional subscribers. Most European national societies receive EPN for further distribution. The total circulation is currently about 25000 copies per issue. It aims to provide physicists at all levels, ranging from post graduate students to senior managers working in both industry and the public sector, with a balanced overview of the scientific and organizational aspects of physics and related disciplines at a European level. Sections covered: ◦Activities ◦Features ◦News and views