探索2018-2022年巴西博尔索纳罗的选票与Covid-19死亡人数之间的相关性

IF 0.1 Q4 SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY

Revista Brasileira de Historia & Ciencias Sociais Pub Date : 2022-09-01 DOI:10.14295/rbhcs.v14i28.14419

Rodrigo Ramos Ramos, V. E. Schincariol

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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章介绍了巴西Covid-19大流行的以下几个方面:在联邦单位的描述层面上，2018年总统选举中博尔索纳罗的选票与Covid-19造成的死亡之间的正统计相关性;2. 博索纳罗的选票与2021年6月之后民众对疫苗接种运动的支持之间的不相关关系;3.2021年6月之后死亡率的下降，以及此后比例死亡率与选票之间的相关性的持续存在。根据这一实证分析，我们提出了未来对这种明显关联的因果机制进行历史和社会学研究的一些路径。

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Exploring the correlation between votes for Bolsonaro and deaths by Covid-19 in Brazil, 2018-2022

The article describes the following aspects regarding the pandemic of Covid-19 in Brazil: 1. the positive statistical correlation between votes for Bolsonaro in the 2018’s presidential elections and deaths caused by Covid-19, at the descriptive level of federal units; 2. the uncorrelated relation between votes for Bolsonaro and the popular adhesion to the vaccination campaign after June 2021; 3. the drop in death rates after June 2021 and the persistence of the correlation between proportional deaths and votes after it. In light of this empirical analysis, we suggest some paths for future historical and sociological research on the causal mechanisms for this apparent association.

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Revista Brasileira de Historia & Ciencias Sociais SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-

自引率

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审稿时长

16 weeks