分享中学习:货币政策与常识

IF 6.3 1区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Alexandre N. Kohlhas
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引用次数: 2

摘要

一种普遍的观点认为,央行发布的信息减少了央行自己关于经济的信息,如果是关于低效率的干扰,如成本推动冲击,则是有害的。本文表明,在微观宏观经济模型中,家庭和企业从央行发布的信息中学习,而央行从对企业价格的观察中学习,这两种情况都是不正确的。央行发布的数据使私营部门和央行的预期更接近常识。这有助于在私营部门和央行之间传递分散的信息。因此,发布额外的中央银行信息减少了中央银行自身的不确定性,无论宏观经济波动的效力如何,都可能是有益的。一个经过校准的例子表明,信息披露的好处是巨大的。(凝胶d82, d83, d84, e12, e52, e58)
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Learning by Sharing: Monetary Policy and Common Knowledge
A common view states that central bank releases decrease central banks' own information about the economy and are harmful if about inefficient disturbances, such as cost-push shocks. This paper shows how neither is true in a microfounded macroeconomic model in which households and firms learn from central bank releases and the central bank learns from the observation of firm prices. Central bank releases make private sector and central bank expectations closer to common knowledge. This helps transmit dispersed information between the private sector and the central bank. As a result, the release of additional central bank information decreases the central bank's own uncertainty and can be beneficial, irrespective of the efficacy of macroeconomic fluctuations. A calibrated example suggests that the benefits of disclosure are substantial. (JEL D82, D83, D84, E12, E52, E58)
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
1.70%
发文量
58
期刊介绍: American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics focuses on studies of aggregate fluctuations and growth, and the role of policy in that context. Such studies often borrow from and interact with research in other fields, such as monetary theory, industrial organization, finance, labor economics, political economy, public finance, international economics, and development economics. To the extent that they make a contribution to macroeconomics, papers in these fields are also welcome.
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