长记忆的河流溪流在巴拿马运河流域

Rodrigo A Coloane Luque, L. Alana
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究区域:指对巴拿马运河6条主要河流的流型进行时间序列分析。研究重点:在分数或I(d)框架中使用最新的时间序列建模技术,它提供了对巴拿马运河流域水文的深入了解。目的:主要目的是确定巴拿马运河流域的河流流量是否显示长记忆,并在此基础上调查是否存在跨时间的显著趋势。新颖性:使用更新的时间序列技术分析河流流量数据的长记忆和时间趋势。该地区新的水文见解:结果首先表明,在所有情况下都存在长记忆,没有任何显著的趋势。虽然一些序列显示出季节性的证据,但它们都是回归均值的。所获得的结果的含义是,影响这些河流流量的气候或水文冲击可能需要更长的时间才能消失。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Long memory of river streams in the canal of Panama watershed
Study region: It refers to the time series analysis of streamflow patterns in the six principal rivers of the Canal of Panama. Study focus: Using recent time series modeling techniques in fractional or I(d) frameworks, it offer an insight into the hydrology of the Panama Canal watershed. Objectives: The main objective is to determine if the river flows at the Canal of Panama watershed display long memory, and based on that, investigate if significant trends are present across time. Novelty: The use of updated time series techniques in the analysis of long memory and time trends in river flow data. New hydrological insights for the region: The results first indicate that long memory is present in all cases, with no significant trends whatsoever. While some series display evidence of seasonality, they are all mean-reverting. The implication of the results obtained is that climatological or hydrological shocks affecting these river streamflows may take a longer time to disappear.
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