东越海溢油模拟的研究与发展

Trinh Q Nguyen
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引用次数: 2

摘要

本文提出了在环境因素(从简单条件到复杂条件)和溢油数据(从单一条件到多种条件)的输入条件下,对溢油模拟进行逆向时间评价的方法。科学基础是采用数学基础的时间正向假说,物理现象的时间反向假说(逆相)和非负性要求。对溢油过程进行了物理、风化和油性变化等重要因素的计算。选择东越南海作为研究对象,运用了以往特别是2007年和2008年的溢油事件数据。模拟结果考虑和决定于海面溢油浓度和层厚,溢油总是出现在小范围内。这个区域有一个峰值浓度值,在短时间内跳过附近的环境。这个时间间隔取决于造成输入数据条件的环境因素。因此,周围较高的浓度被预测为过去可能存在的油纹。最后,对过去可能发生溢油排放源的峰值集中区进行了预测。此外,本研究可能还没有得到优化,因此这些问题将在未来继续解决。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Research and Development for Oil Spill Simulation Backward in Time at East Vietnam Sea
The paper is presented the evaluation of the oil spill simulation backward in time with some input data conditions such as the environment factors (from simple to complex conditions) and oil spill data (from one to multifarious). The scientific basis is used the hypothesis of the mathematical basis forward in time, the physical phenomena backward in time (reverse phase) and non-negative requirements. The oil spill process is calculated with important components involved in the simulation such as physical, weathering and oil properties change. The East Vietnam Sea was chosen to apply the study that oil spill incident data was used in the past and especially in 2007 and 2008. The simulation results are considered and determined with concentration and layer thickness of oil spill on sea that they always appear in small areas. This area has a peak concentration value that jumps over nearby surroundings for a short period of time. This time interval depends on the environmental factors that make the input data condition. Hence, the surrounding higher concentrations are predicted oil streaks that could have survived in the past. Finally, the peak concentration area is predicted for the possibility of an oil spill emission source in the past. Besides, this study may still not be optimized so they will continue to be solved in the future.
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