《国际房地产评论》

IF 0.4 Q4 ECONOMICS
Lingxiao Li, B. Zhu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文研究了两种类型的住房财富效应:传统住房财富效应和抵押住房效应。我们将房屋净值提取(HEE)和抵押贷款自由化的影响纳入Campbell和Mankiw(1989)的模型中。根据美国1977年第一季度至2019年第四季度的数据,我们的实证结果表明,消费受到HEE使用的显著影响,而不是房屋净值。此外,抵押贷款证券化的快速扩张显著放大了抵押贷款证券化的附带效应。根据HEE的使用和非银行抵押贷款持有的份额,住房财富的平均边际消费倾向(MPC)为0.84美分,最高MPC为6.06美分。2007年,当基于市场的抵押贷款池和资产支持证券发行人持有超过60%的住房抵押贷款时,HEE冲击解释了超过50%的消费增长预测方差。研究结果证明,在关注抵押品价值的情况下,贷款机构允许更多的股本提取,从而导致更高的消费。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
International Real Estate Review
This paper investigates two types of housing wealth effects: conventional housing wealth and collateral. We incorporate home equity extraction (HEE) and the influence of mortgage liberalization into the model in Campbell and Mankiw (1989). Based on U.S. data during the 1977Q1–2019Q4, our empirical results suggest that consumption is remarkably influenced by the use of HEE, rather than home equity. Furthermore, the rapid expansion of mortgage securitization significantly amplifies the collateral effect. Conditional on the use of HEE and the share of non-bank mortgage holdings, housing wealth has an average marginal propensity to consume (MPC) of 0.84 cents and a maximum MPC of 6.06 cents. In 2007, when market-based mortgage pools and issuers of asset-backed securities held more than 60% of home mortgages, the HEE shock explained for over 50% of the forecasting variance of consumption growth. The results provide evidence that with a focus on collateral value, lenders allow more equity withdrawal, which leads to higher consumption.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.80
自引率
14.30%
发文量
10
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