{"title":"以灵活的汇率目标制管理宏观经济波动","authors":"Jonas Heipertz, I. Mihov, Ana Maria Santacreu","doi":"10.20955/wp.2017.028","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"We show that a monetary policy rule that uses the exchange rate to stabilize the economy outperforms a Taylor rule in managing macroeconomics fluctuations and in achieving higher welfare. The differences between the rules are driven by: (i) the path of the nominal exchange rate and interest rate under each rule, and (ii) time variation in the risk premium, which leads to deviations from uncovered interest parity. These differences are larger in very open economies, more exposed to foreign shocks, and in which domestic and foreign goods are highly substitutable.","PeriodicalId":51713,"journal":{"name":"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review","volume":"46 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":2.9000,"publicationDate":"2017-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"12","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Managing Macroeconomic Fluctuations with Flexible Exchange Rate Targeting\",\"authors\":\"Jonas Heipertz, I. Mihov, Ana Maria Santacreu\",\"doi\":\"10.20955/wp.2017.028\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"We show that a monetary policy rule that uses the exchange rate to stabilize the economy outperforms a Taylor rule in managing macroeconomics fluctuations and in achieving higher welfare. The differences between the rules are driven by: (i) the path of the nominal exchange rate and interest rate under each rule, and (ii) time variation in the risk premium, which leads to deviations from uncovered interest parity. These differences are larger in very open economies, more exposed to foreign shocks, and in which domestic and foreign goods are highly substitutable.\",\"PeriodicalId\":51713,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review\",\"volume\":\"46 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2017-10-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"12\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"96\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2017.028\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"经济学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"BUSINESS, FINANCE\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis Review","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.20955/wp.2017.028","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
Managing Macroeconomic Fluctuations with Flexible Exchange Rate Targeting
We show that a monetary policy rule that uses the exchange rate to stabilize the economy outperforms a Taylor rule in managing macroeconomics fluctuations and in achieving higher welfare. The differences between the rules are driven by: (i) the path of the nominal exchange rate and interest rate under each rule, and (ii) time variation in the risk premium, which leads to deviations from uncovered interest parity. These differences are larger in very open economies, more exposed to foreign shocks, and in which domestic and foreign goods are highly substitutable.