数据科学的一些统计原则

Pub Date : 2021-05-08 DOI:10.1111/anzs.12324
Noel Cressie
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引用次数: 4

摘要

在任何其他情况下,首先定义地形的范围(数据科学),然后定位和描述地标(原则)可能是有意义的。但我们正在经历的这场数据革命与地籍调查背道而驰。数据科学领域不断被吞并。例如,生物计量学传统上是各种形式的农业统计,但现在,在数据科学中,它意味着对可用于识别个体的特征的研究。非侵入式测量的例子包括身高、体重、指纹、视网膜扫描、声音、照片/视频(面部标志和面部表情)和步态。对于统计学家来说,对这些数据进行多变量分析将是一个复杂的项目,但软件工程师似乎完全没有问题。在任何应用统计学项目中,统计学家都担心不确定性,并通过将数据建模为从概率空间生成的实现来量化不确定性。不确定性量化的另一种方法是找到相似的数据集,然后利用这些数据集之间结果的可变性来捕捉不确定性。这两种方法都允许在从原始数据集获得的估计值上放置“误差条”,尽管解释不同。第三种方法,专注于给出单一答案,放弃不确定性量化,可以被认为是数据工程,尽管它在数据科学领域占有一席之地。本文为数据科学家提供了一些(实际上是9条)统计原则,当我从事复杂的跨学科项目时,这些原则已经并将继续帮助我。
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A few statistical principles for data science

In any other circumstance, it might make sense to define the extent of the terrain (Data Science) first, and then locate and describe the landmarks (Principles). But this data revolution we are experiencing defies a cadastral survey. Areas are continually being annexed into Data Science. For example, biometrics was traditionally statistics for agriculture in all its forms but now, in Data Science, it means the study of characteristics that can be used to identify an individual. Examples of non-intrusive measurements include height, weight, fingerprints, retina scan, voice, photograph/video (facial landmarks and facial expressions) and gait. A multivariate analysis of such data would be a complex project for a statistician, but a software engineer might appear to have no trouble with it at all. In any applied-statistics project, the statistician worries about uncertainty and quantifies it by modelling data as realisations generated from a probability space. Another approach to uncertainty quantification is to find similar data sets, and then use the variability of results between these data sets to capture the uncertainty. Both approaches allow ‘error bars’ to be put on estimates obtained from the original data set, although the interpretations are different. A third approach, that concentrates on giving a single answer and gives up on uncertainty quantification, could be considered as Data Engineering, although it has staked a claim in the Data Science terrain. This article presents a few (actually nine) statistical principles for data scientists that have helped me, and continue to help me, when I work on complex interdisciplinary projects.

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