基于多元线性回归模型,分析新能源汽车股票的影响因素

IF 2.6 3区 经济学 Q1 Business, Management and Accounting
Jinyi Zha
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引用次数: 1

摘要

随着公众环保意识的增强,新能源汽车受到越来越多消费者的青睐。然而,在新能源的发展过程中,实际上存在着许多影响因素波动带来的风险。因此,如何根据中国的实际情况,结合新能源汽车技术的特点,制定合理的技术发展路线和市场策略,从而提高国际竞争力,增加存量市场价值,已成为中国新能源汽车产业发展的重要课题。首先,本文结合国内外新能源汽车行业的代表企业,对行业现状进行分析。其次,分析了新能源汽车产业发展的战略环境。在研究过程中,提出了中国消费者价格指数(CPI)、汇率(USD-CNY)和公司净利润对公司股价的影响假设。以特斯拉、比亚迪和蔚来汽车为例,运用SPSS软件对2021年1月至2022年10月的数据进行分析。以中国CPI、汇率(美元兑人民币)、公司净利润为自变量,进行多元线性回归分析。用BETA系数对假设进行了证明和证伪,并分析了三个变量对公司股价的影响及其原因。最后,提出了提高新能源汽车产业国际竞争力的政策建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Based on Multiple Linear Regression Model, Analyze the Influencing Factors of New Energy Vehicle Stock
—With the public’s awareness of environmental protection, new energy vehicles have been favored by more and more consumers. However, in the development process of new energy, in fact, there are risks caused by the fluctuation of many influencing factors. Therefore, how to formulate reasonable technological development routes and market strategies according to China’s actual situation and combined with the characteristics of new energy vehicle technology, so increase international competitiveness and increase stock market value has become an important topic for the development of China’s new energy vehicle industry. First, this paper combines domestic and foreign representative companies of the new energy vehicle industry to analyze the industry status quo. Secondly, it analyzes the strategic environment for the development of new energy automobile industry. In the process of research, the influence hypothesis of China Consumer Price Index (CPI), Exchange rate (USD-CNY) and the company’s net profit on the company’s stock price was put forward. Taking Tesla, BYD and NIO as examples, SPSS software was used to analyze the data from January 2021 to October 2022. Multiple linear regression analysis was conducted by using China CPI, Exchange rate (USD-CNY) and the company’s net profit as independent variables. The hypothesis is proved and disproved by BETA coefficient, and the influence of three variables on the company’s stock price and its reasons are analyzed. Finally, it puts forward some policy suggestions to enhance the international competitiveness of the new-energy automobile industry.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.80
自引率
3.80%
发文量
48
审稿时长
15 weeks
期刊介绍: The Journal of Business Economics and Management is a peer-reviewed journal which publishes original research papers. The objective of the journal is to provide insights into business and strategic management issues through the publication of high quality research from around the world. We particularly focus on research undertaken in Western Europe but welcome perspectives from other regions of the world that enhance our knowledge in this area. The journal publishes in the following areas of research: Global Business Transition Issues Economic Growth and Development Economics of Organizations and Industries Finance and Investment Strategic Management Marketing Innovations Public Administration.
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