联合循环电厂小时发电量的人工神经网络预测

B. Akdemir
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引用次数: 11

摘要

能源是世界上重要的课题之一,因为它的成本和可实现性。为了降低能源成本,某些类型的工厂可能已经建立并管理相关的需求和环境条件。人工神经网络是文献中著名的人工智能之一,用于解决从医学到建筑的非线性问题。人工神经网络利用节点权值来实现输出。本研究试图对燃气轮机和蒸汽轮机联合发电厂的每小时可得功率进行预测。数据包括9685个特征和4个变量。人工神经网络结果用均方误差和二次交叉验证进行了评价。均方误差和双重交叉验证是评价结果的统计评价方法。数据集分为2部分进行测试和训练。使用双重交叉验证对两个数据集进行训练和测试,并生成R值来评估拟合性能。R是衡量拟合能力的著名比较法。经二次交叉验证得到的均方误差为3.176,R值为0.96675。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Prediction of Hourly Generated Electric Power Using Artificial Neural Network for Combined Cycle Power Plant
Energy is one the important subjects in the world because of its cost and achievable. In order to reduce energy costs, some kinds of plants may have founded and are managed related to demands and environmental conditions. Artificial neural network is one of the famous artificial intelligent in literature to solve nonlinear problems from medical to constructions. Artificial neural network uses nodes to weights to achieve the output. In this study, obtainable power per hour from combined gas and steam turbine power plant tries to be predicted. Data include 9685 features and 4 variables. Artificial neural network results have been evaluated with mean square error and two fold cross validation. Mean square error and two-fold cross validation are statistical evaluation methods to evaluate the results. Dataset divided 2 sections to test and train. Two datasets are trained and tested using two fold cross validation and generated R value to evaluate the fitting performance. R is famous comparing method to figure out the fitting ability. The obtained mean square error after two fold cross validation and R value are 3.176 and 0.96675, respectively. 
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