北苏门答腊天然橡胶出口量的影响因素分析

Tasha Ningtyas Suri, Rahmanta, R. Wibowo
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引用次数: 1

摘要

北苏门答腊省是印尼第二大天然橡胶生产省,对印尼橡胶出口活动有相当大的影响,但北苏门答腊省橡胶出口量波动较大。本研究的目的是分析影响北苏门答腊天然橡胶出口量的因素。分析方法采用稳健回归分析形式的定量分析方法。本研究使用的数据是1989-2018年的时间序列数据,使用年度数据。结果表明,北苏门答腊的天然橡胶产量、天然橡胶出口价格、汇率和通货膨胀同时对北苏门答腊天然橡胶出口量产生显著且显著的影响。北苏门答腊天然橡胶产量、天然橡胶出口价格和汇率对北苏门答腊天然橡胶出口量有部分真实且显著的影响,而通货膨胀对北苏门答腊天然橡胶出口量没有部分影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Affecting Factors on the Natural Rubber Exports Volume in North Sumatera
North Sumatra is the second largest natural rubber producing province in Indonesia so it has a considerable influence on Indonesia's rubber export activities, however, the export volume of rubber from North Sumatra has fluctuated. The aims of this research were to analyze the factors that influence the volume of natural rubber exports in North Sumatra. The analytical method used is quantitative analysis method in the form of robust regression analysis. The data used in this study are time series data from 1989-2018 using annual data. The results showed that North Sumatra's natural rubber production, natural rubber export price, exchange rate, and inflation simultaneously had a significant and significant effect on the export volume of North Sumatra's natural rubber. North Sumatra natural rubber production, natural rubber export prices, and the exchange rate partially have a real and significant effect on the export volume of natural rubber in North Sumatra, while inflation does not partially affect the export volume of North Sumatra natural rubber.
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