{"title":"支持向量机在公交出行时间预测中的应用","authors":"Junyou Zhang, Wang Fanyu, Shufeng Wang","doi":"10.11648/J.IJSE.20180201.15","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The travel time between bus stops has obvious characteristics of time interval distribution, and the bus is a typical space-time process object, and its operation has a state transition. In order to predict the travel time between bus stations accurately, a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is proposed based on the measured travel time between bus stations. Through a large number of GPS data in different periods of time for a reasonable classification summary bin selected the appropriate kernel function to verify. The algorithm is verified by the actual operation data of No. 6 bus in Qingdao Economic and technological Development Zone. The results show that the results of support vector machine model operation are basically in agreement with the actual measured data, and the accuracy is relatively high, and it can even be used to predict bus travel time.","PeriodicalId":14477,"journal":{"name":"International Journal of Systems Engineering","volume":"4 1","pages":"21"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2018-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"7","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Application of Support Vector Machine in Bus Travel Time Prediction\",\"authors\":\"Junyou Zhang, Wang Fanyu, Shufeng Wang\",\"doi\":\"10.11648/J.IJSE.20180201.15\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"The travel time between bus stops has obvious characteristics of time interval distribution, and the bus is a typical space-time process object, and its operation has a state transition. In order to predict the travel time between bus stations accurately, a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is proposed based on the measured travel time between bus stations. Through a large number of GPS data in different periods of time for a reasonable classification summary bin selected the appropriate kernel function to verify. The algorithm is verified by the actual operation data of No. 6 bus in Qingdao Economic and technological Development Zone. The results show that the results of support vector machine model operation are basically in agreement with the actual measured data, and the accuracy is relatively high, and it can even be used to predict bus travel time.\",\"PeriodicalId\":14477,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"International Journal of Systems Engineering\",\"volume\":\"4 1\",\"pages\":\"21\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2018-08-01\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"7\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"International Journal of Systems Engineering\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.IJSE.20180201.15\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Journal of Systems Engineering","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.11648/J.IJSE.20180201.15","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Application of Support Vector Machine in Bus Travel Time Prediction
The travel time between bus stops has obvious characteristics of time interval distribution, and the bus is a typical space-time process object, and its operation has a state transition. In order to predict the travel time between bus stations accurately, a support vector machine (SVM) algorithm is proposed based on the measured travel time between bus stations. Through a large number of GPS data in different periods of time for a reasonable classification summary bin selected the appropriate kernel function to verify. The algorithm is verified by the actual operation data of No. 6 bus in Qingdao Economic and technological Development Zone. The results show that the results of support vector machine model operation are basically in agreement with the actual measured data, and the accuracy is relatively high, and it can even be used to predict bus travel time.